La escuela de los momios

1. FC Kaiserslautern v SC Paderborn

Inicio: 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.289%
Kelly -0.405%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.18%28.33%28.31%32.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.223.233.5035.09%31.10%31.01%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Paderborn (Visitante)

Predicción 45.74%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.625%
Ventaja +0.284%
Kelly +0.521%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.96%45.70%45.73%47.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.022.022.2054.05%49.40%49.38%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.688%
Kelly -0.938%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%25.98%25.96%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.593.7532.26%28.13%27.86%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -19.40%E -6.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV +0.625%E +0.284%K +0.521%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 22:24
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -1.29%E -0.371%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:40
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 08:34
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.13%EV -4.41%E -2.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.86%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.58%E -0.688%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 10:35
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.86%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.58%E -0.688%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:05
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 11:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:39
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:36
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:35
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:35
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -6.69%E -3.28%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 10:35
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -7.15%E -3.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -7.00%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:40
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets3.41I 29.33%NM 27.34%EV -3.56%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.07%E -4.01%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:37
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.07%E -4.01%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.52%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -9.89%E -5.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 10:35
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -9.89%E -5.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.27%E -5.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -9.85%E -2.84%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -13.74%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.91%EV -12.18%E -6.34%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.31%EV -12.64%E -6.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.84%EV -12.97%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -12.64%E -6.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.47%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -13.10%E -6.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 11:40
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.37%EV -15.38%E -8.32%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -18.17%E -5.77%K -8.45%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-02-28 11:40