L’École des cotes

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Karlsruher SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prévision 46.38%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.56%46.37%46.31%47.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.58%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karlsruher SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.40%3.52cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.414%
Kelly -0.581%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.01%28.37%28.43%29.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.4733.33%30.54%30.30%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.21%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.846%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.282%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.91%25.26%25.26%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.654.0031.25%27.60%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%EV -5.84%E -2.88%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV +0.846%E +0.211%K +0.282%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-15 12:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.16%E -4.12%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.34%EV -3.06%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -1.44%E -0.414%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -5.21%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.57%EV -5.84%E -2.88%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 11:40
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.00%E -0.581%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.00%E -0.581%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:18
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 12:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -10.01%E -5.16%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 12:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:40
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:45
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -10.94%E -5.70%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:05
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:04
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -5.84%E -2.88%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.70%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -11.87%E -6.25%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -9.74%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:03
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.70%EV -13.73%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.70%EV -13.73%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.43%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 12:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -3.52%E -1.69%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 11:40
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.05%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 11:40
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -18.06%E -5.56%K -8.03%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-03-15 12:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-15 12:20