La escuela de los momios

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Karlsruher SC

Inicio: 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Predicción 46.38%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.56%46.37%46.31%47.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.58%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karlsruher SC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.414%
Kelly -0.581%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.01%28.37%28.43%29.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.303.4733.33%30.54%30.30%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.21%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.846%
Ventaja +0.211%
Kelly +0.282%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.91%25.26%25.26%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.654.0031.25%27.60%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%EV -5.84%E -2.88%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV +0.846%E +0.211%K +0.282%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-15 12:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -1.68%E -0.430%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.16%E -4.12%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.20%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.34%EV -3.06%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -1.44%E -0.414%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -5.21%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.57%EV -5.84%E -2.88%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.30%E -3.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 11:40
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.00%E -0.581%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.00%E -0.581%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:18
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 12:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -10.01%E -5.16%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.48%E -5.43%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 12:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:40
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:45
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -10.94%E -5.70%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:05
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.23%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:04
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -5.84%E -2.88%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.70%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -11.87%E -6.25%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -9.74%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:03
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.70%EV -13.73%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.70%EV -13.73%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.43%EV -14.19%E -7.67%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 12:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -3.52%E -1.69%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.91%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 11:40
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.05%EV -12.80%E -6.81%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.28%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 11:40
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -16.51%E -9.17%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -18.06%E -5.56%K -8.03%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-03-15 12:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-15 12:20