The School of Odds
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1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 12:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–3 Hertha Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.94%32.89%32.86%34.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9538.46%35.94%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.19%41.12%41.11%42.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.252.3650.00%44.58%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%25.99%26.03%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7530.30%28.23%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local): 32.81%; Hertha Berlin (Visit): 41.12%; Draw: 26.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -3.20%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.98%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.09%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.93%EV -2.51%E -0.671%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 11:55
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 09:04
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 11:35
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 20:29
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 11:55
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -5.17%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.35%EV -7.07%E -3.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 11:15
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -5.50%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -5.50%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.52%EV -7.89%E -3.52%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 12:09
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 11:49
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.42%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.25%E -0.600%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 11:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:54
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:54
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 12:10
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 11:16
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 12:09
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 12:10
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:10
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:10
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.86%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 12:09
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 11:14
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 11:09
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.77%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 11:15
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 11:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.65%EV -12.06%E -4.50%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.08%EV -12.41%E -5.83%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.27%EV -13.20%E -3.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-31 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -8.30%E -3.72%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -8.30%E -3.72%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -8.30%E -3.72%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.10%EV -12.82%E -6.05%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -12.68%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.97%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.36%EV -17.76%E -8.88%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.67%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-31 11:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -13.70%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -13.70%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.37%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -14.03%E -5.36%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -12.68%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-30 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 33.02%2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-10-31 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-10-31 11:50

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