The School of Odds
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1. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prediction 46.39%2.16fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%46.38%46.44%47.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.992.0552.36%50.46%50.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit)

Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%28.60%28.67%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.28%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%25.02%24.89%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.643.653.9032.26%27.46%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local): 46.39%; Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit): 28.54%; Draw: 25.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.49%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.23%E -0.573%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.23%E -0.573%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.09%E -3.20%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 11:24
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 11:23
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -7.68%E -3.86%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -7.68%E -3.86%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 11:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:25
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -17.23%E -5.94%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-20 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -11.39%E -5.97%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -22.29%E -7.19%K -10.61%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-19 13:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-20 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-20 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-20 05:30