L’École des cotes

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prévision 44.57%2.24cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.06%44.53%44.60%45.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.082.1852.36%48.47%48.08%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.59%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.708%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.62%29.57%29.55%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.15%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.83%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%25.90%25.86%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.06%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.20%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.97%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:30
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -5.06%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -7.51%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:30
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.77%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.34%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.77%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.34%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.51%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 43.95%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.01%EV -8.55%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.05%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 00:15
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 01:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 00:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 01:04
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:34
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 02:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 02:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:29
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:39
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:04
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:39
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 00:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 00:03
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.07%E -4.45%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 16:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:14
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 00:15
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.67%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.58%EV -10.62%E -3.52%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.36%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:04
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.75%E -5.93%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:35
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.17%EV -12.64%E -6.45%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.37%EV -15.65%E -5.49%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.09%E -6.71%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.70%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-24 00:00
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -13.53%E -6.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.87%E -7.78%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -14.77%E -5.13%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.91%E -6.42%K -9.48%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%2.7%2026-04-23 20:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%3.9%2026-04-24 03:45