La escuela de los momios

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig

Inicio: 2026-04-24 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Predicción 44.57%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.06%44.53%44.60%45.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.062.082.1852.36%48.47%48.08%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visitante)

Predicción 29.59%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.708%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.62%29.57%29.55%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.15%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.83%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.833%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%25.90%25.86%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.06%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.20%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.97%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:35
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:30
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -5.06%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -7.51%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:30
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.77%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.34%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.77%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -2.34%E -0.708%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.51%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 43.95%EV -5.95%E -2.82%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.01%EV -8.55%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.05%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:35
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 00:15
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 01:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 00:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 01:04
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:34
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 02:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 02:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:29
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:39
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:04
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:39
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:39
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 00:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 00:03
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.07%E -4.45%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 16:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:14
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 00:15
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.67%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.58%EV -10.62%E -3.52%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.36%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:04
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.75%E -5.93%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:35
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%EV -12.19%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.17%EV -12.64%E -6.45%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.37%EV -15.65%E -5.49%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.16%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.09%E -6.71%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.70%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-24 00:00
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -13.53%E -6.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.87%E -7.78%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -14.77%E -5.13%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.91%E -6.42%K -9.48%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.51%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%2.7%2026-04-23 20:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%3.9%2026-04-24 03:45