Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–0 Eintracht Braunschweig

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.00%48.81%48.87%50.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.901.9855.56%52.64%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit)

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.59%26.63%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.453.7030.77%29.07%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.62%4.06fair odd
EV -0.784%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.259%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.60%24.50%25.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.704.0328.99%26.97%27.03%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local): 48.81%; Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit): 26.57%; Draw: 24.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.03, with an expected value of -0.784%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -3.36%E -1.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 12:06
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:06
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:06
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:10
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:10
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.52%E -0.381%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 20:36
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 04:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -5.80%E -3.00%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -5.80%E -3.00%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.27%EV -3.49%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.08%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.06%EV -1.95%E -0.529%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.86%EV -0.784%E -0.194%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -5.22%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 11:01
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 11:00
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -5.22%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 20:34
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 12:06
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 12:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.69%E -0.455%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 07:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 20:35
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.23%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.49%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:08
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 20:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 12:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.50%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.14%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.36%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 13:00
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 13:07
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -15.06%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 12:50
Suprabets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.43%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.18%EV -6.20%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.39%EV -6.69%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 13:03
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:04
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.19%EV -9.22%E -4.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 20:34
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:00
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:15
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.67%EV -11.78%E -3.55%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-17 11:03
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -13.83%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-18 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-18 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%1.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-09-18 12:25