The School of Odds
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VfL Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prediction 40.07%2.50fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.74%40.12%40.15%41.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.55%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Werder Bremen (Visit)

Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -0.936%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.60%33.41%33.39%34.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.812.802.9440.00%35.55%35.71%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV +0.296%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.47%26.46%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.543.503.7833.33%28.27%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Wolfsburg (Local): 40.07%; Werder Bremen (Visit): 33.40%; Draw: 26.53%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.296%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%EV -1.82%E -0.618%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.68%EV +0.296%E +0.078%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 14:25
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.31%EV -2.48%E -0.851%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.00%EV -0.766%E -0.205%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.83%E -0.494%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.11%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -1.83%E -0.494%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.83%E -0.494%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.83%E -0.494%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.27%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.89%E -0.789%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.27%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.89%E -0.789%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 14:25
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -3.15%E -0.864%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:24
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.57%EV -6.23%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.20%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.23%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:25
Suprabets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.33%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.49%EV -5.49%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.18%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:22
Unibet (FR)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.37%EV -9.44%E -4.18%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.83%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -1.83%E -0.745%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 13:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.86%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.96%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 09:25
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:25
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 10:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:24
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.39%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -5.01%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Coolbet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.55%EV -2.23%E -0.913%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 08:14
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -9.16%E -3.37%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:14
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 08:24
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 08:25
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:48
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.15%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:24
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.15%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:25
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:24
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:24
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:24
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 10:40
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 04:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:24
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -16.51%E -6.60%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.40%E -6.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-03-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-21 14:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-03-21 14:24
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-21 04:40