Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 61.81%1.62fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%61.79%61.76%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.90%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Werder Bremen (Visit)

Prediction 16.33%6.12fair odd
EV +9.40%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.40%16.38%16.46%18.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.715.606.7020.00%17.51%17.86%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.86%4.57fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +0.806%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.72%21.84%21.78%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.334.334.7526.67%23.11%23.09%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 61.81%; Werder Bremen (Visit): 16.33%; Draw: 21.86%. For Werder Bremen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.12. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.64%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.40%EV +9.40%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.155%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.64%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.40%EV +9.40%E +1.40%K +1.65%G +0.155%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 15:19
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.12%EV +6.13%E +0.943%K +1.11%G +0.068%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.07%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-23 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.89%EV +5.80%E +0.896%K +1.06%G +0.061%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.25%EV -9.29%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%EV -2.95%E -1.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +4.50%E +0.703%K +0.833%G +0.037%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.48%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV +2.05%E +0.328%K +0.390%G +0.008%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.38%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:09
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.48%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV +2.05%E +0.328%K +0.390%G +0.008%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.38%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:04
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.45%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +2.05%E +0.328%K +0.390%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.18%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.28%EV +1.23%E +0.199%K +0.237%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.41%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +3.83%E +0.806%K +1.02%G +0.039%3.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -6.04%E -3.98%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:25
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:59
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.52%E -5.75%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:04
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.53%EV -2.33%E -1.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.23%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.25%EV -4.48%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -3.67%E -0.621%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -3.67%E -0.621%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.41%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:55
Suprabets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -3.67%E -0.621%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.66%EV -15.19%E -3.91%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.47%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.80%EV -5.30%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%EV +2.73%E +0.582%K +0.739%G +0.020%2.6%2026-04-20 16:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.47%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.80%EV -5.30%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%EV +2.73%E +0.582%K +0.739%G +0.020%2.6%2026-04-20 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.47%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.80%EV -5.30%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.73%EV +2.73%E +0.582%K +0.739%G +0.020%2.6%2026-04-20 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.53%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV -6.11%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV +2.73%E +0.582%K +0.739%G +0.020%3.2%2026-04-20 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.11%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.87%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -6.93%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:40
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:44
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 21:24
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -6.04%E -3.98%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.20%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.04%E -3.98%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 01:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 01:04
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -6.04%E -3.98%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.52%E -5.75%K -17.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.16%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV +2.73%E +0.582%K +0.739%G +0.020%5.2%2026-04-24 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -9.75%E -6.68%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -3.82%E -0.869%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.29%EV -6.66%E -4.41%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV +3.83%E +0.806%K +1.02%G +0.039%6.3%2026-04-24 01:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.42%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.64%E -0.364%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV +3.83%E +0.806%K +1.02%G +0.039%6.8%2026-04-24 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -15.09%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV +0.548%E +0.119%K +0.152%G +0.001%8.1%2026-04-24 01:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 21:08
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.28%E -4.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.99%E -7.63%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -18.03%E -4.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.19%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.34%-0.3%2026-04-24 02:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.98%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 22.01%-0.1%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70%0.2%2026-04-24 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70%0.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70%0.2%2026-04-24 01:20
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-04-24 02:50