Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 15:30 UTC

Final: VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 73.37%1.36fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.908%
Kelly +3.30%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.43%73.32%73.33%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3881.30%77.76%77.52%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamburger SV (Visit)

Prediction 10.51%9.52fair odd
EV +5.41%
Edge +0.539%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 10.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.38%10.53%10.48%16.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.408.989.0010.0318.52%11.14%11.11%9.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.12%6.20fair odd
EV +4.77%
Edge +0.734%
Kelly +0.868%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.61%16.15%16.19%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.815.886.5023.26%17.22%17.02%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 73.37%; Hamburger SV (Visit): 10.51%; Draw: 16.12%. For Hamburger SV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.52. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +4.77%E +0.734%K +0.868%G +0.041%5.3%2026-04-12 15:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +5.09%E +0.509%K +0.566%G +0.029%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%2.9%2026-04-12 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +5.09%E +0.509%K +0.566%G +0.029%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%2.9%2026-04-12 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +5.09%E +0.509%K +0.566%G +0.029%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%2.9%2026-04-12 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.36%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-12 15:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.36%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.47%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.4%2026-04-12 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +0.742%E +0.119%K +0.141%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.57%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.79%EV +4.04%E +0.408%K +0.454%G +0.018%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.64%EV -0.064%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 15:01
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.11%EV -9.62%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -0.064%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.56%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.39%EV -0.064%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 15:00
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.98%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.99%EV +3.52%E +0.357%K +0.397%G +0.014%6.14I 16.29%NM 16.03%EV -1.03%E -0.168%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 15:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.81%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.61%EV -1.68%E -0.275%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 15:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 11:29
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.05%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 11:30
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:01
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:01
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:01
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:01
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:00
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +5.09%E +0.509%K +0.566%G +0.029%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.75%E -7.93%K -42.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -9.75%E -7.93%K -42.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.24%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%10.03I 9.97%NM 9.62%EV +5.41%E +0.539%K +0.599%G +0.032%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.14%EV -3.61%E -0.604%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 14:51
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.06%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.75%EV +2.99%E +0.305%K +0.340%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.06%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.75%EV +2.99%E +0.305%K +0.340%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.54%EV -5.71%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 06:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -0.162%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.54%EV -5.71%E -0.975%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 06:50
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.31%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.20%EV -9.73%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.50%EV -6.03%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 15:01
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -3.88%E -2.96%K -12.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.71%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 14:29
Suprabets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.79%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.64%EV +2.99%E +0.305%K +0.340%G +0.010%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.57%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 14:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.47%EV -7.55%E -5.99%K -29.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.29%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:58
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.65%EV -9.62%E -1.12%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.07%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 15:01
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -3.88%E -2.96%K -12.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 14:24
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +5.09%E +0.509%K +0.566%G +0.029%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 15:00
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +5.09%E +0.509%K +0.566%G +0.029%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.08%E -4.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.42%E -0.602%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 08:09
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 15:01
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -15.93%E -1.99%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:01
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 15:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.67%E -1.26%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -8.28%E -6.63%K -33.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -21.18%E -2.82%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -27.47%E -6.10%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-12 13:01
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV +1.25%E +0.908%K +3.30%G +0.041%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -43.25%E -8.01%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -30.69%E -7.14%K -9.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-27 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.97%0.2%2026-04-12 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-12 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-12 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-12 15:00
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-12 15:00
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-12 14:59