Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:30 UTC

Final: VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 42.77%2.34fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.74%42.75%44.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2848.78%45.61%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

Prediction 33.51%2.98fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.179%
Kelly +0.269%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.17%33.51%33.59%34.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.30%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV -0.367%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.115%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.75%23.65%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.943.974.2029.41%25.36%25.19%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 42.77%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visit): 33.51%; Draw: 23.72%. For Bayer Leverkusen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.538%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%EV +0.538%E +0.179%K +0.269%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 05:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%EV +0.538%E +0.179%K +0.269%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.50%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%EV +0.538%E +0.179%K +0.269%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-09 05:14
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.13%EV -2.50%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.22%EV -0.802%E -0.271%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.64%EV -1.32%E -0.316%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.23%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV -1.14%E -0.386%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 05:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.31%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.85%EV -1.47%E -0.501%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -3.93%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.31%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.85%EV -1.47%E -0.501%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -3.93%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.12%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.22%EV -2.14%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 05:14
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.37%EV -9.77%E -4.63%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -2.48%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.46%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.47%EV -2.81%E -0.970%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -1.55%E -0.374%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 05:11
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -2.81%E -0.970%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:44
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -2.81%E -0.970%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 22:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:14
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:14
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:15
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:13
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:14
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:14
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:14
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 09:49
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 23:44
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.09%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:44
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -3.82%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.50%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.82%EV -4.15%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -3.45%E -0.848%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 05:03
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.19%EV -2.50%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 05:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.36%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 05:13
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.36%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 05:13
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.37%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.30%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:24
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -7.63%E -3.53%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 05:14
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.52%EV -5.16%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 05:11
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.52%EV -5.16%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 05:13
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.71%EV -2.50%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.21%EV -6.83%E -2.46%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.71%EV -2.50%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.21%EV -6.83%E -2.46%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 05:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.35%EV -7.17%E -2.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 05:13
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -0.367%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 05:13
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.17%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:13
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 21:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 05:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 05:14
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.52%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 05:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.52%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -11.86%E -4.51%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -19.34%E -5.69%K -8.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 05:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.96%EV -12.33%E -6.02%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.87%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 05:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-05-09 05:15