Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Berlin v Elversberg

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC

Final: Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Berlin (Local)

Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd
EV +0.676%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.483%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.41%41.91%41.89%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.242.4047.62%44.75%44.64%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elversberg (Visit)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +0.980%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.05%33.30%33.23%35.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.803.0738.46%35.46%35.71%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.82%4.03fair odd
EV +0.513%
Edge +0.127%
Kelly +0.168%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.69%24.79%24.88%26.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.753.754.0528.17%26.66%26.67%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Berlin (Local): 41.95%; Elversberg (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 24.82%. For Elversberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.97%EV -3.94%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 32.05%EV +2.03%E +0.661%K +0.980%G +0.020%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.98%EV -2.22%E -0.563%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-28 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.98%EV -6.46%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.06%EV -0.631%E -0.211%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.96%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.99%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.03%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.21%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.99%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.03%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.21%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-05 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.99%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.03%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.21%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -0.728%E -0.182%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-03 23:49
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%EV -3.52%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -4.45%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.50%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.98%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -3.21%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 23:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.29%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 13:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.29%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.29%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.29%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 11:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.29%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 11:14
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%EV -2.26%E -0.970%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.70%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -3.21%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-05 11:25
Caesars🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.34%EV -7.29%E -3.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -4.95%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.21%EV -3.94%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.92%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +0.513%E +0.127%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.4%2026-10-04 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.21%EV -3.94%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.92%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV +0.513%E +0.127%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.4%2026-10-04 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.67%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -0.728%E -0.182%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 14:24
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 10:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 01:14
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 11:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 13:35
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -3.52%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 11:15
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-23 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 23:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -6.28%E -2.23%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.65%EV -7.43%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-05 06:24
Bovada🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.31%EV -3.94%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 11:14
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.31%EV -3.94%E -1.72%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 11:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 01:09
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 01:10
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.21%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 06:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.46%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.46%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 10:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.46%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -6.46%E -2.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-23 19:15
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.91%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-05 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 11:15
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.17%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-05 10:00
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-05 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-05 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 07:46
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 11:20
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.30%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.71%EV -9.60%E -3.53%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.98%EV -8.92%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 13:56
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 10:10
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -7.71%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.41%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.52%EV -9.39%E -4.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-05 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.05%EV -11.91%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.07%EV -11.27%E -4.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.88%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-04 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV +0.676%E +0.281%K +0.483%G +0.003%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -11.93%E -4.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.69%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.93%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-04 10:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-10-05 13:35
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-10-05 14:35
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-10-05 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-10-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-10-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-10-05 13:05