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Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union Berlin (Local)
Prediction 16.38%6.10fair odd
EV +10.59%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.195%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.45%16.47%16.39%19.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.855.986.7521.05%17.09%16.72%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Borussia Dortmund (Visit)
Prediction 62.96%1.59fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.891%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.16%62.90%62.93%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.491.5869.44%67.36%67.11%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.65%4.84fair odd
EV +3.26%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +0.815%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%20.62%20.68%21.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.524.505.0023.81%22.14%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Berlin (Local): 16.38%; Borussia Dortmund (Visit): 62.96%; Draw: 20.65%. For Union Berlin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +10.59%E +1.57%K +1.84%G +0.195% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +10.59%E +1.57%K +1.84%G +0.195% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +10.59%E +1.57%K +1.84%G +0.195% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +6.49%E +0.999%K +1.18%G +0.077% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.67%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.21%EV +4.20%E +0.660%K +0.784%G +0.033% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.07%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.72%EV -3.55%E -0.761%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.21%EV +4.20%E +0.660%K +0.784%G +0.033% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.07%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.72%EV -3.55%E -0.761%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.29I 15.90%NM 15.26%EV +3.05%E +0.485%K +0.577%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.19%EV -6.44%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +2.40%E +0.384%K +0.457%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +2.40%E +0.384%K +0.457%G +0.011% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +1.58%E +0.255%K +0.304%G +0.005% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.52%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -0.060%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -0.060%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -0.060%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -0.060%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.29%E -2.83%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 13:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.78%EV -6.03%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 13:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -8.10%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -10.16%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -11.19%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.65%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -10.16%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.65%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -10.16%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.65%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.07%EV -10.16%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.70%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.16%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.74%EV -3.04%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.10%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.16%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.74%EV -3.04%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.10%EV -5.41%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -3.34%E -0.566%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.29%E -2.83%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.63%EV -3.97%E -0.853%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.98%EV -3.34%E -0.566%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.84%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -8.10%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV -4.97%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.48%EV -0.517%E -0.327%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.78%EV -7.89%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -4.97%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.23%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +3.26%E +0.652%K +0.815%G +0.027% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 13:02 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.624%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 13:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.79%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.25%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.25%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -8.25%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -8.25%E -1.47%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.65%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -11.19%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.06%E -1.57%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -1.90%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 13:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -9.13%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.89%E -1.80%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -11.53%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -0.869%E -0.181%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -14.81%E -2.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -5.00%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -16.44%E -3.22%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.26%E -3.16%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.08%E -3.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.52%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.15%EV -6.03%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -22.18%E -4.67%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -10.58%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 0.1% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 13:25 |