Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 13:30 UTC

Final: Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Berlin (Local)

Prediction 35.18%2.84fair odd
EV -0.785%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.431%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.84%35.22%35.17%37.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8240.00%37.73%37.74%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Köln (Visit)

Prediction 36.45%2.74fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.736%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.85%36.57%36.42%38.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.602.602.8043.48%38.40%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV +0.702%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.39%28.22%28.42%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.323.303.5534.72%30.14%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Berlin (Local): 35.18%; 1. FC Köln (Visit): 36.45%; Draw: 28.37%. For 1. FC Köln (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%EV +2.06%E +0.736%K +1.15%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 13:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%EV +2.06%E +0.736%K +1.15%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 13:26
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.25%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.96%EV +2.06%E +0.736%K +1.15%G +0.024%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.79%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 13:26
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV +0.239%E +0.087%K +0.136%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 12:45
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.58%E -0.587%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.58%E -0.587%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:26
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -1.58%E -0.587%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:26
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.34%EV -2.68%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.01%EV -2.54%E -0.918%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.46%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 13:26
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.32%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.32%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 13:01
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.32%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 13:00
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.04%EV -8.17%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.36%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.53%EV -0.785%E -0.278%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.72%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 13:15
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 12:35
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 12:30
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:34
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:50
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:26
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.09%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.43%EV -4.50%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.09%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.43%EV -4.50%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 13:21
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -4.50%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.50%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.50%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 12:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:21
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:15
Bovada🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -1.49%E -0.532%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:25
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:26
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:20
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -7.82%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:26
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -5.23%E -2.01%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:26
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.71%EV -3.95%E -1.45%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.58%EV -5.59%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.71%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:26
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.05%E -2.77%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:20
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.82%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:14
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:25
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.87%E -3.55%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -10.70%E -4.37%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +0.702%E +0.198%K +0.275%G +0.002%6.7%2026-05-02 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.77%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -11.79%E -4.87%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.871%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -12.52%E -5.22%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.871%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.52%E -5.22%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -16.16%E -7.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -18.30%E -6.36%K -9.74%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-02 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.74%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%-0.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.65%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-05-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-05-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-05-02 13:26
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-02 12:30