Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSG Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:30 UTC

Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSG Hoffenheim (Local)

Prediction 64.32%1.55fair odd
EV -0.301%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.32%64.32%64.47%65.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5571.43%67.97%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Werder Bremen (Visit)

Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd
EV +9.00%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.147%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.88%16.77%16.59%18.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.635.606.5020.00%17.77%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.91%5.29fair odd
EV +4.00%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +0.888%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.18%18.90%18.94%21.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.884.905.5025.00%20.51%20.41%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim (Local): 64.32%; Werder Bremen (Visit): 16.77%; Draw: 18.91%. For Werder Bremen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.78%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +9.00%E +1.38%K +1.64%G +0.147%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.34%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 12:09
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.10%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 16.28%EV +1.29%E +0.213%K +0.255%G +0.003%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.62%EV -0.163%E -0.031%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-09 05:14
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +0.615%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 22:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.615%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 07:19
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.615%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 05:14
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.615%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.615%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -9.24%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 12:09
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.615%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.06%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -0.223%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -1.68%E -0.322%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:14
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -1.06%E -0.180%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 00:09
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -1.06%E -0.180%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -6.40%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 00:10
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.31%EV -2.07%E -0.354%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.35%EV -6.97%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.27%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.57%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.16%EV +0.594%E +0.112%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-08 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.27%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.57%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.16%EV +0.594%E +0.112%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-08 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.71%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.57%EV -2.40%E -0.413%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -2.62%E -0.509%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 05:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.75%EV -0.301%E -0.194%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.77%EV -2.74%E -0.472%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.75%EV -0.301%E -0.194%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.77%EV -2.74%E -0.472%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 05:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.75%EV -0.301%E -0.194%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.77%EV -2.74%E -0.472%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.90%EV -0.944%E -0.613%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%EV -2.74%E -0.472%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.41%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.35%EV -2.74%E -0.472%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.68%E -0.322%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.58%E -0.622%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.58%E -0.622%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.58%E -0.622%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 05:13
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.58%E -0.622%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 05:13
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -3.58%E -0.622%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 05:13
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -3.58%E -0.622%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:25
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV -4.42%E -0.775%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 05:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.56%EV -1.59%E -1.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.07%EV -3.57%E -0.699%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 05:11
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 05:11
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -5.45%E -3.71%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.893%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:15
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:13
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.16%E -2.79%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.09%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -13.02%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -3.52%E -2.34%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +4.00%E +0.727%K +0.888%G +0.036%5.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.24%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 05:14
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -4.80%E -3.25%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 00:04
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 13:34
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.24%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 22:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -9.95%E -7.11%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -7.77%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -24.37%E -6.09%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-04 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.98%EV -2.87%E -1.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -9.45%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.35%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -9.45%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -5.46%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 05:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.24%EV -8.02%E -5.61%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.35%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 05:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -8.66%E -6.10%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -11.12%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -1.68%E -0.322%K -0.399%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.61%EV -6.73%E -4.64%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -11.96%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -7.35%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -11.96%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -11.96%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -14.91%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 05:14
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.15%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -9.24%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.15%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -9.24%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -16.15%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -9.24%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.38%E -5.12%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.15%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.18%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 05:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64%1.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64%1.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.64%1.2%2026-05-09 05:15
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.7%2026-05-08 23:09
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-05-08 23:54