Language:English
TSG Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim (Local)
Prediction 55.34%1.81fair odd
EV -0.950%
Edge -0.531%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.99%55.27%55.38%56.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.7961.35%58.32%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FSV Mainz 05 (Visit)
Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV +0.771%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.59%20.55%20.47%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.504.504.9125.00%22.22%22.22%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.329%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.13%24.17%24.15%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.903.904.1030.30%25.62%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim (Local): 55.34%; FSV Mainz 05 (Visit): 20.52%; Draw: 24.14%. For FSV Mainz 05 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.771%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.92%EV -4.27%E -2.47%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.70%EV +0.771%E +0.157%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.37%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +0.565%E +0.115%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.92%EV -2.23%E -0.550%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.96%EV -0.256%E -0.053%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.31%EV -3.68%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -1.49%E -0.310%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -5.38%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.49%E -0.310%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.51%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.51%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -5.38%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.38%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.51%E -0.529%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -5.38%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -3.54%E -0.753%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 13:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.18%EV -0.950%E -0.531%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.95%EV -4.98%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.57%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.63%EV -4.98%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.27%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.59%E -4.55%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.59%E -4.55%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.51%EV -0.950%E -0.531%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.51%EV -0.950%E -0.531%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.51%EV -0.950%E -0.531%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.65%EV -1.50%E -0.845%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.59%E -4.55%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -9.80%E -6.01%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 12:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.72%E -2.14%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.27%E -2.47%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -9.70%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.43%E -0.859%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 12:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -10.72%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.47%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -11.13%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -4.82%E -2.80%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 13:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.75%E -2.73%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -4.27%E -2.47%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -12.77%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -4.27%E -2.47%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -12.77%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -5.38%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.77%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -13.80%E -3.29%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.06%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -15.85%E -3.87%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -15.85%E -3.87%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -7.59%E -4.55%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -20.33%E -6.16%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 13:25 |