Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSG Hoffenheim v FC St. Pauli

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSG Hoffenheim (Local)

Prediction 62.14%1.61fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.76%62.10%62.20%64.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.79%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St. Pauli (Visit)

Prediction 15.65%6.39fair odd
EV +5.61%
Edge +0.831%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.45%15.66%15.62%17.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.066.006.7518.18%16.51%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.22%4.50fair odd
EV +0.642%
Edge +0.142%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%22.23%22.18%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.214.204.5328.57%23.76%23.81%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim (Local): 62.14%; FC St. Pauli (Visit): 15.65%; Draw: 22.22%. For FC St. Pauli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.74%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.50%EV +5.61%E +0.831%K +0.976%G +0.055%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.74%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.50%EV +5.61%E +0.831%K +0.976%G +0.055%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-28 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.74%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.50%EV +5.61%E +0.831%K +0.976%G +0.055%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.54%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.91%EV +1.70%E +0.261%K +0.309%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +1.70%E +0.261%K +0.309%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 14:50
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.70%E +0.261%K +0.309%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -2.25%E -0.510%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:03
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.70%E +0.261%K +0.309%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:02
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.09%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -3.36%E -0.772%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.12%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.12%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Suprabets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.99%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV +0.135%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.25%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.24%EV -0.648%E -0.102%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.26%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.20%EV -0.648%E -0.102%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.55%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.26%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.20%EV -0.648%E -0.102%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.55%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.27%EV -1.12%E -0.177%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.08%EV -2.91%E -0.666%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.85%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.96%EV -1.43%E -0.227%K -0.270%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.21%E -0.354%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.73%EV -9.90%E -6.83%K -22.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -2.21%E -0.354%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 07:49
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.64%EV -2.68%E -0.431%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.41%EV -3.58%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.18%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.28%EV -2.99%E -0.483%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.25%E -0.510%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:45
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.20%E -0.756%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.17%EV -4.56%E -0.747%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.78%EV +0.642%E +0.142%K +0.182%G +0.001%1.4%2026-02-28 14:05
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.93%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -4.56%E -0.747%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.44%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.46%EV -4.56%E -0.747%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -3.36%E -0.772%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -2.25%E -0.510%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.93%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -2.25%E -0.510%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:59
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:05
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.80%E -0.878%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:06
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.12%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV -7.69%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -2.25%E -0.510%K -0.661%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.25%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.85%EV -9.28%E -6.36%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -9.25%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:06
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.80%E -0.878%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -10.04%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.82%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:05
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.07%E -1.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.92%EV -12.07%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.38%E -2.21%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.91%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 14:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -10.52%E -7.31%K -23.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -13.95%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -22.24%E -6.35%K -8.90%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:06
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-02-28 14:05