赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-10-25 14:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSG Hoffenheim (主队)

预测 35.54%2.81公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -0.692%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.76

博彩公司预测分布
34.25%35.51%35.56%36.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.602.622.7641.67%38.41%38.17%36.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bayer Leverkusen (客队)

预测 40.99%2.44公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -0.847%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.39

博彩公司预测分布
39.28%41.09%41.09%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.242.252.3947.62%44.62%44.44%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.47%4.26公平赔率
EV +0.908%
优势 +0.211%
Kelly +0.275%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
22.06%23.40%23.36%24.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.993.984.3027.78%25.08%25.13%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：TSG Hoffenheim (主队)：35.54%；Bayer Leverkusen (客队)：40.99%；平局：23.47%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.26。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.30，由此产生+0.908%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV +0.908%E +0.211%K +0.275%G +0.002%5.4%2026-10-12 01:19
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -1.91%E -0.692%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.18%EV -2.03%E -0.847%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.16%EV -0.266%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-11 20:12
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.44%E -0.343%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 01:20
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.44%E -0.343%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 20:10
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.44%E -0.343%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 01:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.44%E -0.343%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.44%E -0.343%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 01:19
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.44%E -0.343%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 01:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.68%EV -4.40%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.19%EV -4.49%E -1.92%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.13%EV -2.61%E -0.629%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 20:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.79%E -0.923%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.79%E -0.923%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 01:19
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -5.11%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -7.07%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -13.91%E -6.63%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 20:10
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -13.91%E -6.63%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 20:14
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -13.91%E -6.63%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 20:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.89%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -13.91%E -6.63%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 20:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 01:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 23:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.71%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.28%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-12 01:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.12%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-12 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.24%EV -10.08%E -3.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -9.81%E -4.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -13.64%E -3.71%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-12 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.71%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -11.86%E -5.52%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -15.52%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-12 01:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.1%2026-10-11 20:10
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 35.56%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%16.2%2026-10-12 01:20