Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 13:30 UTC

Final: SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV +0.116%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.92%38.08%38.08%39.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.54%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Leipzig (Visit)

Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV -0.622%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.362%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%36.55%36.51%38.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7241.67%39.11%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%25.37%25.41%27.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.703.703.9932.26%27.05%27.03%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Freiburg (Local): 38.07%; RB Leipzig (Visit): 36.54%; Draw: 25.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.51%EV -6.36%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.13%EV -1.72%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.36%EV +1.33%E +0.334%K +0.446%G +0.006%2.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV +0.318%E +0.081%K +0.108%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -0.952%E -0.244%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 13:05
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.32%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.46%EV -2.45%E -0.917%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.22%EV -1.97%E -0.510%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV +0.116%E +0.044%K +0.071%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.641%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.641%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -2.22%E -0.577%K -0.779%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:05
Coolbet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.32%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.17%EV -2.08%E -0.777%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.51%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.98%EV -1.03%E -0.395%K -0.641%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 13:09
Bovada🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.59%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.68%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 13:25
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 13:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -3.49%E -0.919%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.18%EV -2.08%E -0.777%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -4.00%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:09
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 13:25
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.33%EV -3.69%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.48%EV -7.93%E -3.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:58
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 13:25
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:39
Suprabets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.39%EV -5.97%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.42%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:14
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%EV -7.88%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.98%EV -0.622%E -0.229%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%EV -7.88%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.98%EV -0.622%E -0.229%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.21%EV -7.56%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:17
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:25
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -7.88%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -7.93%E -3.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:25
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:25
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:55
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:37
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -5.59%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:25
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 13:25
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -5.59%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -9.39%E -3.79%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:55
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -5.59%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%EV -9.39%E -3.79%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -7.50%E -3.09%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -9.39%E -3.79%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.92%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.23%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 13:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.92%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.23%EV -11.22%E -4.62%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -21.27%E -6.86%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-16 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.44%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-16 13:25
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.51%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-16 13:20