Language:English
RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RB Leipzig (Local)
Prediction 72.96%1.37fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -8.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%72.78%73.04%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3380.65%77.37%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC St. Pauli (Visit)
Prediction 10.52%9.51fair odd
EV +5.17%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.574%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.38%10.53%10.49%11.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.059.0010.0012.90%11.05%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.53%6.05fair odd
EV -0.020%
Edge -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.55%16.69%16.47%19.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.605.606.0522.22%17.84%17.86%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Leipzig (Local): 72.96%; FC St. Pauli (Visit): 10.52%; Draw: 16.53%. For FC St. Pauli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.51. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92%EV -2.97%E -2.23%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%EV +5.17%E +0.517%K +0.574%G +0.030% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 16.25%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%EV +5.17%E +0.517%K +0.574%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +5.17%E +0.517%K +0.574%G +0.030% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -13.24%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 04:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +3.06%E +0.313%K +0.348%G +0.011% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.76%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +3.06%E +0.313%K +0.348%G +0.011% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -10.76%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.97%E -2.23%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.97%E -2.23%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -2.97%E -2.23%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.18%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.17%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.59%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 05:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:13 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.80%E -7.04%K -35.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.80%E -7.04%K -35.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -0.092%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 21:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.39%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 9.48I 10.55%NM 10.14%EV -0.302%E -0.032%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.46%EV -3.49%E -0.598%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 05:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -2.97%E -2.23%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV -1.14%E -0.122%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.29%EV -1.14%E -0.122%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.45%EV -2.83%E -0.481%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 02:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.29%EV -1.14%E -0.122%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.45%EV -2.83%E -0.481%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 02:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.52%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 9.28I 10.78%NM 10.24%EV -2.41%E -0.259%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.24%EV -8.94%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 13:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -2.72%E -0.294%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.39%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.29%EV -3.25%E -0.353%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 05:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 05:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 05:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -3.70%E -2.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.61%E -5.17%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 21:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 05:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -8.07%E -6.41%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -5.35%E -0.594%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 05:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.51%EV -8.07%E -6.41%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -7.45%E -0.847%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV -7.98%E -0.912%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -4.43%E -3.38%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 05:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.98%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.24%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -9.53%E -7.69%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -9.53%E -7.69%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.11%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -8.80%E -7.04%K -35.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -10.61%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -25.63%E -5.70%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -13.24%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.15%E -3.97%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -13.24%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.46%E -1.33%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -15.87%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -0.846%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.88%E -4.56%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -15.87%E -1.98%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.37%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-05 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.32%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -18.50%E -2.39%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.15%E -0.716%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 05:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 05:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.36% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 05:14 |