Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:30 UTC

Final: Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%33.14%33.11%34.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.842.832.9738.17%35.24%35.40%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FSV Mainz 05 (Visit)

Prediction 39.15%2.55fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%39.15%39.14%40.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.4844.44%41.81%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd
EV -0.122%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.71%27.75%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.39%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamburger SV (Local): 33.11%; FSV Mainz 05 (Visit): 39.15%; Draw: 27.74%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.604. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.600, with an expected value of -0.122%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.66%EV -1.67%E -0.562%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.25%EV -5.65%E -2.35%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -0.677%E -0.189%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.07%EV -2.33%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -0.122%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.07%EV -2.33%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -0.122%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.07%EV -2.33%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -0.122%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.33%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.91%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.85%EV -3.17%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 13:25
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -2.33%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 13:15
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.37%EV -2.33%E -0.790%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.84%EV -4.84%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 04:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.08%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -2.91%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -3.45%E -0.992%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -3.33%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.91%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -3.33%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.91%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 07:45
BetUS🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.66%E -1.26%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -5.26%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -6.23%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.43%EV -5.26%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.26%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.26%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.87%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -1.51%E -0.425%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 13:25
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.84%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.92%EV -4.87%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:23
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.83%E -2.87%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.96%E -4.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.83%E -2.87%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -4.98%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 13:15
Suprabets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.00%EV -4.98%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.14%EV -5.26%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:11
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.87%EV -4.98%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.83%E -2.87%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.50%EV -4.84%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 13:19
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:25
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.92%E -5.30%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.122%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.87%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:09
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 04:52
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:15
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:15
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:20
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:25
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:24
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:25
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 05:19
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.96%E -4.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.85%EV -8.29%E -2.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.22%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.09%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.90%E -0.828%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:10
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -8.00%E -3.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:25
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.04%E -2.52%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 13:00
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.06%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 13:25
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.96%E -4.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-06 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-06 13:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.71%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-06 13:25
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-06 12:40
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-09-06 13:25