Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV +0.539%
Edge +0.142%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.47%26.49%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.8030.30%27.93%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

Prediction 47.30%2.11fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.26%47.28%47.36%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0854.64%50.52%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.24%26.15%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.583.603.7632.26%27.93%27.78%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamburger SV (Local): 26.46%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visit): 47.30%; Draw: 26.24%. For Hamburger SV (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.539%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV +0.539%E +0.142%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.30%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02%EV -1.60%E -0.427%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV +0.539%E +0.142%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.30%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02%EV -1.60%E -0.427%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV +0.539%E +0.142%K +0.192%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.30%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.02%EV -1.60%E -0.427%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -0.784%E -0.209%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -1.60%E -0.427%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 19:25
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.784%E -0.209%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 19:25
Pinnacle🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 26.05%EV -1.31%E -0.352%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.33%EV -3.18%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.11%E -0.569%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:00
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.11%E -0.569%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.11%E -0.569%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -2.11%E -0.569%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.11%E -0.569%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 19:25
1xBet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.48%EV -3.17%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.74%EV -3.98%E -1.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.78%EV -1.34%E -0.356%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.27%EV -3.17%E -0.865%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.44%E -0.934%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 19:25
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -1.61%E -0.774%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.01%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.32%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.44%E -0.934%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.32%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.44%E -0.934%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 19:25
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:25
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 19:23
Suprabets🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.48%EV -6.06%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 19:22
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 19:25
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.46%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.64%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:25
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.71%E -4.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 19:25
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.71%E -4.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:00
BetUS🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:24
GTbets🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.70%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.96%EV -3.98%E -1.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.33%EV -5.01%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 19:25
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:25
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.45%E -2.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -11.07%E -5.89%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -11.07%E -5.89%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.85%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 19:25
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.60%E -0.427%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:25
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:25
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 19:25
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 19:24
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 19:25
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.46%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.47%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 19:24
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.91%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 19:24
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.32%EV -7.29%E -3.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:25
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.18%E -4.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.44%E -7.34%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.66%E -6.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 19:25
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.16%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.53%0.5%2026-03-04 19:25
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-03-04 19:25