Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v Augsburg

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 39.66%2.52fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.24%39.76%39.68%41.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.372.382.4544.84%42.15%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 32.41%3.09fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.556%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.98%32.32%32.43%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.903.0538.46%34.41%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -0.016%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%27.92%27.89%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.5833.33%29.79%29.41%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamburger SV (Local): 39.66%; Augsburg (Visit): 32.41%; Draw: 27.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.581. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.580, with an expected value of -0.016%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.79%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -1.14%E -0.373%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.79%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -1.14%E -0.373%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.79%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -1.14%E -0.373%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.79%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -1.14%E -0.373%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 12:49
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -4.48%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 13:24
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.25%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.66%EV -3.73%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 13:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.37%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:09
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.90%EV -1.14%E -0.373%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.56%EV -1.41%E -0.400%K -0.558%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.40%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.90%EV -1.46%E -0.481%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -2.25%E -0.643%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 13:19
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.75%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 11:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 11:44
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 12:50
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 13:09
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 11:41
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:19
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:44
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.82%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:44
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.16%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.97%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.87%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -5.35%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:00
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -5.35%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:09
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:39
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:39
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:39
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:39
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -5.61%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.01%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -6.01%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:24
Suprabets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.87%EV -3.73%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:21
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.38%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.25%E -0.643%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 12:49
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 12:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -7.99%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -7.99%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 12:49
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:09
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.77%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.93%EV -6.97%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 13:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.77%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -10.77%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.72%E -6.05%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-04 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -11.56%E -5.19%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-04-04 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-04-04 13:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-04 13:24
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-04 13:24
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-04-04 11:30
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-04-04 13:25