Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.20%40.21%41.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4345.45%42.76%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Köln (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.987%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.25%32.15%32.10%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.0537.04%34.04%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV +0.173%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.64%27.69%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6233.33%29.45%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamburger SV (Local): 40.20%; 1. FC Köln (Visit): 32.12%; Draw: 27.67%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.173%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.83%EV +0.173%E +0.048%K +0.066%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -2.70%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -2.32%E -0.657%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -2.70%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -2.32%E -0.657%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.36%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.00%EV -2.35%E -0.772%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.64%EV -2.59%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -2.30%E -0.947%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -2.30%E -0.947%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -2.30%E -0.947%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%EV -2.30%E -0.947%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.87%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-14 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.40%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.90%EV -2.35%E -0.772%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.43%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 17:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 17:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 17:13
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.06%E -3.59%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -4.27%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 17:20
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -4.27%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:15
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:24
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:25
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -4.27%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 17:15
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.55%EV -5.92%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 12:50
Suprabets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.98%EV -4.71%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.23%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.79%EV -5.64%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 17:12
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.71%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:49
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.31%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:34
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 05:34
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 05:35
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:15
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.72%E -2.90%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -7.81%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.51%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.24%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 17:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 17:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 17:25
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 17:20
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -13.27%E -4.91%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -8.33%E -3.65%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -8.33%E -3.65%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.55%E -5.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.27%E -4.91%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -16.98%E -5.66%K -8.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-03-14 17:25