預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln

2026-09-19 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Hamburger SV (主隊)

預測 36.52%2.74公平賠率
EV -0.291%
優勢 -0.107%
Kelly -0.168%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.73

博彩公司預測分布
35.46%36.50%36.50%37.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.302.532.502.7343.48%39.52%40.00%36.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

1. FC Köln (客隊)

預測 37.16%2.69公平賠率
EV -2.27%
優勢 -0.863%
Kelly -1.39%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.63

博彩公司預測分布
36.19%37.11%37.23%38.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.302.512.502.6343.48%39.77%40.00%38.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.32%3.80公平賠率
EV +0.005%
優勢 +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.80

博彩公司預測分布
24.94%26.39%26.27%27.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.353.553.603.8029.85%28.16%27.78%26.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Hamburger SV (主隊):36.52%;1. FC Köln (客隊):37.16%;和局:26.32%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.7998的公平十進位賠率。 有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為3.8000,因此產生+0.005%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:25
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 36.05%EV -0.291%E -0.107%K -0.168%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.42%EV -2.27%E -0.863%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.53%EV -2.36%E -0.637%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-06 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.03%EV -1.75%E -0.651%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 20:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.24%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -2.48%E -0.930%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%EV -5.24%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.92%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 20:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 20:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 20:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.40%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.45%EV -9.70%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.15%EV -8.42%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 20:28
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 20:15
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 20:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.17%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 20:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:19
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.73%EV -14.17%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.08%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.00%E -6.95%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.53%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-06 20:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 36.15%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%8.0%2026-09-06 20:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 36.61%2.34I 42.74%NM 36.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%16.7%2026-09-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 20:30