Langue:Français
Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln
Résultat du match
Hamburger SV (Local)
Prévision 36.52%2.74cote équitable
EV -0.291%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.168%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.46%36.50%36.50%37.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.502.7343.48%39.52%40.00%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
1. FC Köln (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.16%2.69cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.19%37.11%37.23%38.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.6343.48%39.77%40.00%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.32%3.80cote équitable
EV +0.005%
Avantage +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.94%26.39%26.27%27.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.553.603.8029.85%28.16%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Hamburger SV (Local) : 36.52% ; 1. FC Köln (Visiteur) : 37.16% ; Match nul : 26.32%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.7998. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.8000, pour une espérance positive de +0.005%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 36.05%EV -0.291%E -0.107%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.42%EV -2.27%E -0.863%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.53%EV -2.36%E -0.637%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 20:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.03%EV -1.75%E -0.651%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.42%EV -3.76%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 20:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.24%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -2.48%E -0.930%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%EV -5.24%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.92%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.40%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.45%EV -9.70%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.15%EV -8.42%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 20:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 20:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.17%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 20:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 20:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.73%EV -14.17%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.08%EV -10.52%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.00%E -6.95%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.53%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -11.84%E -3.53%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-06 20:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.15% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 36.61% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 36.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77% | 16.7% | 2026-09-06 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 20:30 |