Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 17:30 UTC

Final: FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Prediction 56.19%1.78fair odd
EV -0.549%
Edge -0.310%
Kelly -0.713%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.77%56.13%56.22%57.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.671.7763.69%59.61%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 21.55%4.64fair odd
EV -0.421%
Edge -0.091%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.53%21.58%22.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.404.6225.00%22.72%22.73%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV -0.947%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.274%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%22.34%22.20%24.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.194.204.4528.57%23.86%23.81%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 (Local): 56.19%; Union Berlin (Visit): 21.55%; Draw: 22.26%. For Union Berlin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.62, with an expected value of -0.421%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -0.549%E -0.310%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 17:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -0.549%E -0.310%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.08%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:19
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -2.23%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.52%EV -3.44%E -0.768%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.07%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.23%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.23%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.23%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.22%EV -3.36%E -1.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.75%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -3.92%E -2.29%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.92%E -2.29%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:18
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -3.92%E -2.29%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -0.947%E -0.213%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 17:25
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.01%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.93%EV -1.61%E -0.365%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.97%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.96%EV -0.421%E -0.091%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.06%EV -2.28%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -7.62%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:18
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:24
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -4.48%E -2.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.04%E -2.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.01%EV -2.51%E -0.572%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.04%E -2.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.01%EV -2.51%E -0.572%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 17:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -5.04%E -2.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.04%E -2.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.04%E -2.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 17:19
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:22
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -4.09%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:24
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -4.09%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:19
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 17:24
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 17:19
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 17:19
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:24
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:24
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:24
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:24
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:25
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.40%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 17:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.40%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 17:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 17:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.17%E -3.69%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.94%EV -6.73%E -4.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -0.852%E -0.185%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.73%E -4.05%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.29%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -2.06%E -0.468%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:19
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.62%E -0.836%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:24
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.40%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:24
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -7.29%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.74%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.85%E -4.79%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -7.85%E -4.79%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -7.85%E -4.79%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 17:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.51%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 17:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -22.09%E -6.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-05-10 17:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-05-10 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-05-10 17:19
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-10 17:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%1.1%2026-05-10 17:19
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.03%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-05-10 17:19