Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Prediction 21.54%4.64fair odd
EV +4.45%
Edge +0.918%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.19%21.51%21.54%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.404.8525.00%22.70%22.73%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayern Munich (Visit)

Prediction 57.29%1.75fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%57.31%57.30%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.7063.69%60.85%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.17%4.72fair odd
EV -0.480%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.17%21.16%24.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.404.404.7027.78%22.74%22.73%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 (Local): 21.54%; Bayern Munich (Visit): 57.29%; Draw: 21.17%. For FSV Mainz 05 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 20.33%EV +4.45%E +0.918%K +1.16%G +0.052%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.69%EV -3.75%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%EV -0.480%E -0.102%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-21 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.31%EV +3.38%E +0.703%K +0.889%G +0.030%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73%EV -4.90%E -2.95%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.96%EV -1.54%E -0.331%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.62%EV +2.30%E +0.484%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 20:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.62%EV +2.30%E +0.484%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 20:19
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.62%EV +2.30%E +0.484%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.38%EV +2.30%E +0.484%K +0.613%G +0.014%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.62%EV -3.75%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 20:20
GTbets🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.19%EV -0.285%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -9.48%E -6.00%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.64%EV -4.08%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:24
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 05:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:19
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:19
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:20
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:20
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:19
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:19
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:19
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.931%E -0.202%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.27%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.75%EV -3.66%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:37
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -10.01%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 15:29
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.58%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -10.01%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.08%E -0.685%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.58%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -10.01%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:19
Coolbet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.76%EV -4.16%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.61%E -1.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%EV -3.66%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 13:44
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -4.16%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -3.75%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -5.77%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 13:40
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -4.16%E -0.935%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -3.75%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -5.77%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.27%EV -4.90%E -2.95%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:24
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 05:19
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 08:15
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.24%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 08:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -6.32%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -3.18%E -1.88%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV -0.480%E -0.102%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 12:23
LowVig.ag🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -6.32%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -3.18%E -1.88%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV -0.480%E -0.102%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 12:23
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -6.32%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:06
BetUS🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -6.32%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.32%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.06%E -6.41%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.18%E -3.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.32%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -10.06%E -6.41%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.18%E -3.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:19
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.75%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:19
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.75%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:19
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.75%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:24
Pinnacle🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -6.75%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%EV -4.90%E -2.95%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.98%EV -4.29%E -0.949%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.75%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:19
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -6.75%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.18%E -3.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 05:14
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:40
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:25
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:50
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -6.62%E -4.06%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -11.07%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.39%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.48%E -6.00%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.47%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.05%E -3.69%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 14:29
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.47%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.05%E -3.69%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 14:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.47%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.05%E -3.69%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.55%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.94%EV -4.90%E -2.95%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.60%E -0.565%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 19:45
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -9.55%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:39
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -9.55%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:50
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -9.55%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -4.90%E -2.95%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -9.55%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -4.33%E -2.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.55%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:35
Everygame🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.70%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:20
Suprabets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -11.70%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:09
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 21:25
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.06%E -6.41%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.85%E -3.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -23.77%E -6.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 21:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-04-24 02:25
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%2.2%2026-04-24 00:10