默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-10-10 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FSV Mainz 05 (主队)

预测 31.82%3.14公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.440%
Kelly -0.650%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.49%31.75%31.78%33.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.882.903.1037.74%34.76%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bayer Leverkusen (客队)

预测 43.06%2.32公平赔率
EV -2.68%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
41.80%43.16%43.14%44.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.132.152.2650.00%46.89%46.51%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.12%3.98公平赔率
EV +0.739%
优势 +0.184%
Kelly +0.245%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.01

博彩公司预测分布
23.84%25.09%25.09%25.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.683.604.0128.57%27.19%27.78%24.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:FSV Mainz 05 (主队):31.82%;Bayer Leverkusen (客队):43.06%;平局:25.12%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.01,由此产生+0.739%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.94%EV -2.00%E -0.650%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.53%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.53%EV +0.739%E +0.184%K +0.245%G +0.002%1.7%2026-09-16 16:54
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.488%E +0.122%K +0.163%G +0.001%4.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.02%E -0.519%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -5.18%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -3.78%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 17:01
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.14%EV -4.84%E -2.19%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.54%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.37%E -0.440%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.05%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.31%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 17:20
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 17:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 19:04
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -11.73%E -5.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.56%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-16 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -9.96%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.86%E -5.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -10.82%E -3.05%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -11.73%E -5.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -10.82%E -3.05%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -15.68%E -5.92%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.44%EV -15.68%E -5.92%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%EV -13.88%E -6.94%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.57%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-16 17:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-09-16 17:20