Language:English
FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli (Local)
Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV +0.574%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.328%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%36.53%36.67%37.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.63%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)
Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.91%37.05%36.86%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.6642.55%39.90%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.667%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.37%26.42%26.46%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.563.553.8533.33%28.07%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St. Pauli (Local): 36.57%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 36.96%; Draw: 26.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.53%EV +0.574%E +0.209%K +0.328%G +0.002% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +1.90%E +0.493%K +0.667%G +0.013% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.53%EV +0.574%E +0.209%K +0.328%G +0.002% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +1.90%E +0.493%K +0.667%G +0.013% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.53%EV +0.574%E +0.209%K +0.328%G +0.002% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%EV +1.90%E +0.493%K +0.667%G +0.013% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.17%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.17%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.66%EV +0.047%E +0.012%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.60%EV -1.25%E -0.465%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.76%EV -8.34%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -0.747%E -0.199%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.747%E -0.199%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -2.07%E -0.560%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.24%EV -1.62%E -0.602%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.20%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.56%EV -2.86%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.51%EV -0.523%E -0.192%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.17%EV -6.49%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.86%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.51%EV -0.523%E -0.192%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.17%EV -6.49%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.86%E -0.780%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.85%EV -3.45%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.58%EV -3.13%E -0.855%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.39%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.39%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.39%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.39%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.86%EV -1.25%E -0.465%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.24%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -1.25%E -0.465%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 13:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -6.49%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.80%EV -5.25%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.49%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.90%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.23%EV -9.67%E -3.91%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -6.86%E -2.72%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -13.14%E -5.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -13.14%E -5.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -13.14%E -5.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -13.14%E -5.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -13.14%E -5.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.23%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -12.23%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -20.60%E -6.87%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.96% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.03% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.01% | 0.0% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.92% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36% | 0.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.39% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.39% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.39% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.39% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |