Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St. Pauli v SC Freiburg

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St. Pauli (Local)

Prediction 35.36%2.83fair odd
EV -0.994%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.552%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.38%35.36%35.38%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.672.8040.00%37.49%37.52%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Freiburg (Visit)

Prediction 33.16%3.02fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.94%33.16%33.18%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.832.802.9540.00%35.36%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV -0.826%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.384%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.58%31.48%31.44%32.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.45%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St. Pauli (Local): 35.36%; SC Freiburg (Visit): 33.16%; Draw: 31.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.826%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -0.994%E -0.355%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-22 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -0.994%E -0.355%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-22 15:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -0.994%E -0.355%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-22 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -0.994%E -0.355%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.81%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-22 15:35
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.14%EV -2.41%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.18%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.12%EV -2.41%E -0.872%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -3.18%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.68%EV -3.66%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 16:19
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.85%EV -2.76%E -1.00%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.92%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.51%EV -3.12%E -1.14%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.21%EV -2.85%E -0.973%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.28%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 16:20
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.92%EV -3.47%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.99%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -3.03%E -0.984%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.53%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -3.18%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.38%EV -3.03%E -0.984%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:24
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.95%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:24
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.00%EV -3.82%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.95%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.03%E -0.984%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 16:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -4.84%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:34
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:34
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:34
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:35
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:24
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:25
Suprabets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.37%EV -5.24%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.03%EV -4.84%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -2.19%E -0.742%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 13:20
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 14:31
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.19%E -0.742%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:54
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 15:40
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:34
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -7.00%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.81%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -1.77%E -0.567%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:23
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 15:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 14:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:24
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -5.50%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:15
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -9.13%E -3.55%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -9.83%E -3.86%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -9.83%E -3.86%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -0.826%E -0.262%K -0.384%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.83%E -3.86%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -2.40%E -0.774%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:20
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.83%E -3.86%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 16:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.73%0.0%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.66%0.3%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-22 16:20
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-03-22 16:25