Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St. Pauli v Bayern Munich

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 16:30 UTC

Final: FC St. Pauli 0–5 Bayern Munich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St. Pauli (Local)

Prediction 11.24%8.90fair odd
EV +9.01%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 9.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.94%11.28%11.12%13.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.328.509.7014.29%12.02%11.76%10.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayern Munich (Visit)

Prediction 72.11%1.39fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.23%71.99%72.29%74.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.26%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.65%6.01fair odd
EV +0.738%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.80%16.73%16.59%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.565.556.0522.22%18.00%18.02%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St. Pauli (Local): 11.24%; Bayern Munich (Visit): 72.11%; Draw: 16.65%. For FC St. Pauli (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.90. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +9.01%E +0.929%K +1.04%G +0.093%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.13%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.93%EV +0.738%E +0.122%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-11 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +9.01%E +0.929%K +1.04%G +0.093%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.13%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.93%EV +0.738%E +0.122%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-11 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +5.64%E +0.600%K +0.671%G +0.038%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.41%EV -4.81%E -3.65%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -0.927%E -0.156%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 16:19
Betsson🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +4.51%E +0.485%K +0.544%G +0.025%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.28%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -10.09%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:20
NordicBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +4.51%E +0.485%K +0.544%G +0.025%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.28%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -10.09%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:20
Pinnacle🎯9.15I 10.93%NM 10.61%EV +2.83%E +0.309%K +0.347%G +0.010%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.01%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.38%EV -1.26%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 16:15
Suprabets🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.39%EV +2.27%E +0.249%K +0.280%G +0.006%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.30%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 16:23
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 16:20
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.36%EV -3.37%E -2.52%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.07%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 16:20
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 16:19
Everygame🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.14%E +0.127%K +0.143%G +0.002%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -7.70%E -6.01%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.76%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 16:18
Bovada🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.89%EV -4.81%E -3.65%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.81%E -3.65%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 16:04
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.58%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 16:03
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:19
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 16:24
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:19
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:20
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -6.75%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -4.81%E -3.65%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -12.58%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:09
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:25
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:20
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 16:20
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.24%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -12.58%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:24
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -4.48%E -0.527%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 16:20
1xBet🎯8.21I 12.18%NM 11.84%EV -7.74%E -0.942%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.93%EV -1.21%E -0.882%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.23%EV -6.09%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 16:19
GTbets🎯8.11I 12.33%NM 11.66%EV -8.86%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.54%EV -3.37%E -2.52%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.80%EV -11.58%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.66%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.26%E -0.740%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 16:20
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.35%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -0.095%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 16:20
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -3.42%E -0.590%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -5.09%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:10
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 16:19
PlayUp🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -12.58%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:20
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.75%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:05
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.75%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.75%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.10%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -16.75%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:05
Fliff🎯7.85I 12.74%NM 11.65%EV -11.78%E -1.50%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.42%EV -7.70%E -6.01%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -10.09%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -15.71%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -4.81%E -3.65%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.98%EV -1.76%E -0.298%K -0.359%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 16:24
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -15.71%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -15.71%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -7.70%E -6.01%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -10.09%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -15.71%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -7.70%E -6.01%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -10.09%E -1.87%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -15.71%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -25.07%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 16:15
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -18.52%E -2.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -1.93%E -1.42%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV -18.52%E -2.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.90%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -5.09%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 16:20
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -21.33%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -1.93%E -1.42%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -21.33%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:19
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -21.33%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -21.33%E -3.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -2.65%E -1.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -8.42%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%0.2%2026-04-11 16:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-04-11 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-04-11 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-04-11 16:25
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.81%1.2%2026-04-11 16:20
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 9.91%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.04%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.04%2.9%2026-04-11 16:25