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FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart

2026-11-21 17:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV -0.675%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%24.77%24.98%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.753.804.0030.77%26.66%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart (Visit)

Prediction 51.95%1.92fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.44%51.99%51.87%53.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.781.801.8960.98%56.05%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.22%4.31fair odd
EV +0.537%
Edge +0.124%
Kelly +0.161%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%23.24%23.15%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.3327.03%24.95%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Schalke 04 (Local): 24.83%; VfB Stuttgart (Visit): 51.95%; Draw: 23.22%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.33, producing a positive expected value of +0.537%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.88%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV +0.537%E +0.124%K +0.161%G +0.001%5.3%2026-11-04 14:35
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 25.12%EV -2.66%E -0.679%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.09%EV -1.81%E -0.960%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.79%EV +0.305%E +0.071%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-04 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.12%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -1.32%E -0.311%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-04 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.09%EV -4.41%E -2.40%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82%EV -2.48%E -0.591%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-04 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -4.93%E -2.69%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-04 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.16%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 14:04
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -0.675%E -0.169%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 14:04
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.70%EV -4.41%E -2.40%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.26%EV -5.04%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-04 15:15
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.59%EV -4.41%E -2.40%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.96%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-04 16:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.675%E -0.169%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.40%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -5.45%E -2.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.16%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 14:04
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.16%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.16%E -0.810%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.61%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.49%E -3.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.61%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.05%E -4.55%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.13%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-04 14:50
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -5.45%E -2.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.29%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-04 14:45
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.09%E -5.19%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-04 14:50
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.09%E -5.19%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-04 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.09%E -5.19%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-04 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.64%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -9.09%E -5.19%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.45%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-04 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -16.82%E -5.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.02%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.61%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -13.09%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -14.80%E -9.03%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -11.77%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-04 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -14.33%E -4.15%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -12.93%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-04 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -19.30%E -5.94%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.44%EV -11.68%E -6.87%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -14.09%E -3.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-04 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%16.6%2026-11-04 14:35