Idioma:Español
FC Schalke 04 v Elversberg
Resultado del partido
FC Schalke 04 (Local)
Predicción 53.10%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.953%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.25%53.05%53.10%53.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.751.8560.61%56.82%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elversberg (Visitante)
Predicción 22.15%4.51momio equitativo
EV -0.985%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.284%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.60%22.24%22.10%25.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.454.144.204.4728.99%24.18%23.81%22.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.75%4.04momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.336%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.63%24.71%24.80%25.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.803.854.0028.57%26.34%25.97%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Schalke 04 (Local): 53.10%; Elversberg (Visitante): 22.15%; Empate: 24.75%. Para Elversberg (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.47, con un valor esperado de -0.985%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.23%EV -1.76%E -0.953%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 22.03%EV -0.985%E -0.220%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.74%EV -1.50%E -0.378%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -2.99%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.01%E -0.252%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -2.54%E -0.576%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.01%E -0.252%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -22.47%E -6.42%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.25%EV -8.67%E -5.04%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -23.58%E -6.83%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-06 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -9.20%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -10.16%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -12.38%E -7.51%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -9.18%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64% | 16.4% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 35.70% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 31.86% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 32.44% | 88.0% | 2026-09-06 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |