Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:30 UTC

Final: FC Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern Munich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prediction 7.37%13.56fair odd
EV +17.95%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.215%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.91%7.32%7.32%9.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.8913.0016.0010.00%7.76%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayern Munich (Visit)

Prediction 81.35%1.23fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -11.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.51%81.45%81.44%83.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.35%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.28%8.87fair odd
EV +10.20%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.119%

assuming max odds 9.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.81%11.22%11.24%12.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.338.409.7713.79%12.01%11.90%10.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Schalke 04 (Local): 7.37%; Bayern Munich (Visit): 81.35%; Draw: 11.28%. For FC Schalke 04 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.56. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.06%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.86%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.08%EV -1.31%E -0.150%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.02%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.91%EV -0.407%E -0.046%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.02%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.07%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.91%EV -0.407%E -0.046%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +1.51%E +0.168%K +0.189%G +0.003%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:55
Betsson🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.49%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:25
NordicBet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.95%E +1.12%K +1.20%G +0.215%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.49%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:24
betfred_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +10.58%E +0.705%K +0.756%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 12:55
SportsBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV +10.58%E +0.705%K +0.756%G +0.080%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.77%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV -1.31%E -0.150%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Paddy Power🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +10.58%E +0.705%K +0.756%G +0.080%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -7.26%E -6.37%K -51.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:00
PlayUp🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +10.58%E +0.705%K +0.756%G +0.080%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -18.23%E -2.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV +3.21%E +0.229%K +0.247%G +0.008%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV +3.21%E +0.229%K +0.247%G +0.008%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV +3.21%E +0.229%K +0.247%G +0.008%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.84%EV +3.21%E +0.229%K +0.247%G +0.008%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 07:34
Betr (AU)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +3.21%E +0.229%K +0.247%G +0.008%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:55
Pinnacle🎯13.99I 7.15%NM 6.85%EV +3.13%E +0.224%K +0.241%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.34%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%9.77I 10.24%NM 9.81%EV +10.20%E +1.04%K +1.16%G +0.119%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
BetUS🎯13.99I 7.15%NM 6.85%EV +3.13%E +0.224%K +0.241%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.34%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%9.77I 10.24%NM 9.81%EV +10.20%E +1.04%K +1.16%G +0.119%4.3%2026-09-04 14:19
1xBet🎯13.40I 7.46%NM 7.34%EV -1.22%E -0.091%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.02%EV -2.38%E -1.98%K -11.91%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.64%EV +4.33%E +0.468%K +0.525%G +0.023%1.6%2026-09-04 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯13.25I 7.55%NM 7.31%EV -2.32%E -0.175%K -0.189%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.05%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.64%EV +2.64%E +0.290%K +0.326%G +0.009%3.3%2026-09-04 08:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:35
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Codere (IT)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.35%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.33%EV -5.26%E -0.626%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Bovada🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.45%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV +4.33%E +0.468%K +0.525%G +0.023%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.59%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:35
Betclic (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.31%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -6.95%E -0.842%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.02%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 11:34
BoyleSports🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:20
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.52%EV -7.26%E -6.37%K -51.87%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.33%EV -7.51%E -0.916%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 12:50
Sky Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -7.26%E -6.37%K -51.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:55
FanDuel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -8.08%E -7.15%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 13:00
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.89%E -7.94%K -74.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 08:30
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -4.16%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.89%E -7.94%K -74.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 08:29
GTbets🎯12.86I 7.78%NM 7.52%EV -5.20%E -0.404%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.24%EV -3.19%E -2.68%K -16.81%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.24%EV -3.00%E -0.349%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 12:55
BetRivers🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -7.85%E -0.628%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:35
Casumo🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -7.85%E -0.628%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:35
Bally Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -7.85%E -0.628%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:35
betPARX🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -7.85%E -0.628%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:34
Winamax (DE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -7.85%E -0.628%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.69%EV -8.08%E -7.15%K -62.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV +7.15%E +0.753%K +0.841%G +0.060%7.0%2026-09-04 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -7.85%E -0.628%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.34%EV -7.26%E -6.37%K -51.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.24%EV -6.95%E -0.842%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:04
LeoVegas🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:50
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.73%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.51%E +0.168%K +0.189%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-04 00:20
Caesars🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 20:01
Winamax (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.08%E -7.15%K -62.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +7.15%E +0.753%K +0.841%G +0.060%7.4%2026-09-04 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 07:35
TAB🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -5.64%E -4.86%K -35.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 08:25
DraftKings🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.26%E -6.37%K -51.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 22:45
TABtouch🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 07:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -6.45%E -5.61%K -42.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 07:34
Suprabets🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.39%EV -8.08%E -7.15%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -5.26%E -0.626%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 20:03
Everygame🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -11.54%E -0.961%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.63%EV -8.89%E -7.94%K -74.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 12:04
Fanatics🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV -15.22%E -1.32%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +1.51%E +0.168%K +0.189%G +0.003%5.3%2026-09-04 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.22%E -1.32%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.51%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:50
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.73%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.98%EV -2.38%E -1.98%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 12:55
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:44
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -4.82%E -4.12%K -28.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.77%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.78%EV -8.08%E -7.15%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -18.91%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.78%EV -8.08%E -7.15%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.41%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 07:35
BetMGM🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -22.59%E -2.15%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.79%EV -3.19%E -2.68%K -16.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -26.28%E -2.63%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.57%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:00
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -26.28%E -2.63%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.57%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -26.28%E -2.63%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.57%EV -4.01%E -3.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.13%E -0.486%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets17.99I 5.56%NM 5.53%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.32%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%0.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-04 13:45
Matchbook18.50I 5.41%NM 5.35%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.56%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-09-04 09:10