Langue:Français
Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05
Résultat du match
Elversberg (Local)
Prévision 29.54%3.39cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.75%29.57%29.52%30.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.133.153.3435.09%31.98%31.75%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FSV Mainz 05 (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.53%2.20cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.23%45.50%45.51%46.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.042.052.1352.08%48.99%48.78%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.360%
Kelly +0.478%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 4.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%24.92%24.97%26.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.743.704.0728.99%26.72%27.03%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Elversberg (Local) : 29.54% ; FSV Mainz 05 (Visiteur) : 45.53% ; Match nul : 24.93%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.07, pour une espérance positive de +1.47%.
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.51%EV -1.35%E -0.404%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.27%EV -3.01%E -1.42%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 24.22%EV +1.47%E +0.360%K +0.478%G +0.007% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 20:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.279%E -0.070%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.279%E -0.070%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.30%EV -5.75%E -2.78%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -1.28%E -0.322%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.77%E -0.711%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.77%E -0.711%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 19:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.77%E -0.711%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.77%E -0.711%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.77%E -0.711%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.77%E -0.711%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.53%E -0.767%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.26%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.92%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.26%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-19 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 00:26 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.62%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-19 01:24 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-19 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-19 01:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -14.34%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.88%EV -10.75%E -5.49%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-19 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.91%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -10.75%E -5.49%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.26%EV -12.00%E -3.40%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-19 00:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -14.34%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -8.93%E -4.47%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-19 00:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.21%EV -15.82%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.84%EV -12.58%E -6.55%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.95%EV -13.99%E -4.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-19 00:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (2)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99% | 4.0% | 2026-10-19 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.57% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99% | 16.6% | 2026-10-19 00:24 |