Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg v Bayern Munich

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 1–2 Bayern Munich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg (Local)

Prediction 8.02%12.47fair odd
EV +28.33%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.535%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.91%8.03%7.90%9.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.7512.2312.0016.0010.26%8.17%8.33%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayern Munich (Visit)

Prediction 80.62%1.24fair odd
EV +0.770%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +3.08%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.53%80.58%80.73%82.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.171.161.2590.91%85.80%86.21%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.36%8.80fair odd
EV +3.18%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.393%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 9.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.37%11.39%11.37%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.248.009.0813.33%12.14%12.50%11.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elversberg (Local): 8.02%; Bayern Munich (Visit): 80.62%; Draw: 11.36%. For Elversberg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.47. 31 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +28.33%E +1.77%K +1.89%G +0.535%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 15:25
NordicBet🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +28.33%E +1.77%K +1.89%G +0.535%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +20.31%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.295%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.66%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.84%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%2.5%2026-09-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +20.31%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.295%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.66%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.84%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%2.5%2026-09-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +20.31%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.295%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.66%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.84%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%2.5%2026-09-13 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV +20.31%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.295%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.90%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.69%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%4.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Grosvenor🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +12.29%E +0.878%K +0.946%G +0.116%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.01%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:50
PlayUp🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +12.29%E +0.878%K +0.946%G +0.116%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +8.28%E +0.613%K +0.663%G +0.055%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.09%EV -1.14%E -0.131%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +8.28%E +0.613%K +0.663%G +0.055%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.09%EV -1.14%E -0.131%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 14:41
Pinnacle🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -3.26%E -2.72%K -16.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%4.3%2026-09-13 15:15
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.97%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%4.3%2026-09-13 15:10
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:46
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.09%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.0%2026-09-13 15:20
SportsBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.18%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV -6.25%E -0.758%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:46
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.59%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.31%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -6.25%E -0.758%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:55
betano_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%6.5%2026-09-13 15:19
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%6.5%2026-09-13 15:24
BetRivers🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:50
Casumo🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:50
Bally Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:50
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:50
TAB🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +4.27%E +0.329%K +0.356%G +0.015%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -9.71%E -8.67%K -80.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 15:10
Coolbet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV +0.261%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -3.26%E -2.72%K -16.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV +0.261%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.65%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +0.261%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +0.261%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.06%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 15:15
Unibet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +0.261%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.06%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +0.261%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.06%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 15:15
BetUS🎯12.20I 8.20%NM 7.81%EV -2.15%E -0.176%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.48%EV -5.69%E -0.685%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:20
1xBet🎯12.10I 8.26%NM 7.94%EV -2.95%E -0.244%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.47%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%9.08I 11.01%NM 10.59%EV +3.18%E +0.350%K +0.393%G +0.012%4.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Sky Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.47%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.59%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%4.9%2026-09-13 14:46
Codere (IT)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.27%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.81%EV -0.005%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Suprabets🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.89%EV -4.07%E -3.42%K -21.41%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -11.37%E -1.46%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:13
Everygame🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 15:09
Caesars🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.09%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 15:23
LeoVegas🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 15:15
Bet Right🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.09%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.21%EV -6.25%E -0.758%K -0.863%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 15:04
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -3.75%E -0.312%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 81.89%EV -11.32%E -10.29%K -113.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 15:20
GTbets🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 7.91%EV -5.35%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.42%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%7.99I 12.52%NM 11.68%EV -9.21%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:20
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.26%EV -4.07%E -3.42%K -21.41%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -11.94%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:10
Fanatics🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.70%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.70%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.49%E -5.59%K -40.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%6.4%2026-09-13 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +2.27%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.006%7.2%2026-09-13 15:15
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:10
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:10
DraftKings🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -5.68%E -4.85%K -33.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -14.78%E -1.97%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:10
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.77%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 14:46
Fliff🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.49%EV -13.37%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.69%EV -7.29%E -6.34%K -48.61%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.82%EV -11.94%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 15:25
BetMGM🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -15.78%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.25%EV -2.45%E -2.03%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.62%EV -6.25%E -0.758%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -15.78%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.07%EV -4.87%E -4.13%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -11.94%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -15.78%E -1.50%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.47%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.41%E -0.402%K -0.455%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -19.79%E -1.98%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.74%EV -3.26%E -2.72%K -16.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 14:35
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV -19.79%E -1.98%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.74%EV -3.26%E -2.72%K -16.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 14:56
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -19.79%E -1.98%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.59%EV -8.10%E -7.10%K -57.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -9.10%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.89%EV -21.40%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.53%EV +0.770%E +0.616%K +3.08%G +0.024%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.59%EV -12.50%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Neds🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -21.80%E -2.24%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.25%EV -3.26%E -2.72%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.94%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -21.80%E -2.24%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.25%EV -3.26%E -2.72%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -11.94%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets16.50I 6.06%NM 6.07%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.49%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.44%-0.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.23%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.43%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%0.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.96%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.82%0.5%2026-09-13 15:25
Matchbook16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%0.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.55%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%0.9%2026-09-13 15:25
Kalshi14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.36%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%2.0%2026-09-13 15:20