The School of Odds
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Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim

2026-11-21 14:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Frankfurt (Local)

Prediction 40.61%2.46fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.51%40.48%40.69%43.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.292.302.4150.00%43.72%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim (Visit)

Prediction 35.33%2.83fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.74%35.37%35.31%36.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.682.7741.67%38.06%37.31%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.301%
Kelly +0.395%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%24.15%24.00%25.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.804.2127.78%25.95%26.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt (Local): 40.61%; TSG Hoffenheim (Visit): 35.33%; Draw: 24.05%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.21, producing a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.04%EV -2.53%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.56%EV -2.12%E -0.767%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.40%EV +1.27%E +0.301%K +0.395%G +0.005%1.5%2026-11-04 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.13%EV -5.38%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.49%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -1.38%E -0.336%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-04 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -1.38%E -0.336%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.78%E -0.946%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 16:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.78%E -0.946%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.83%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.78%E -0.946%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.78%E -0.946%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.47%EV -2.83%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 19:10
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-04 19:20
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.68%EV -2.13%E -0.882%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.90%EV -7.63%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-04 17:10
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.53%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.44%EV -5.30%E -1.98%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 17:17
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-04 17:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-04 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-04 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-04 17:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -9.80%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -9.80%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -5.30%E -1.98%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-04 17:09
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -3.35%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -5.30%E -1.98%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-04 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.67%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -13.43%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.63%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-04 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -18.78%E -9.39%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.74%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -11.00%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-04 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -13.50%E -6.34%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.75%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.13%EV -12.68%E -3.49%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-04 19:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -14.72%E -7.01%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%EV -15.20%E -6.33%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-04 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 40.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.57%16.3%2026-11-04 19:10