The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Eintracht Frankfurt v Augsburg

2026-09-06 15:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Frankfurt (Local)

Prediction 49.44%2.02fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.18%49.48%49.36%50.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.901.9956.18%53.02%52.63%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 26.96%3.71fair odd
EV -0.507%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%26.94%26.94%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.6932.26%29.31%29.41%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.60%4.24fair odd
EV -0.879%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%23.58%23.70%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.923.904.2027.03%25.53%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt (Local): 49.44%; Augsburg (Visit): 26.96%; Draw: 23.60%. For Augsburg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.69, with an expected value of -0.507%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.42%EV -1.62%E -0.815%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.65%EV -0.507%E -0.137%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.93%EV -3.00%E -0.731%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-23 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.85%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -2.93%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%EV -0.879%E -0.209%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.24%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 11:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 11:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.32%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.07%E -3.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.93%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 11:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -6.07%E -3.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.32%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.06%E -3.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.06%E -3.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.39%EV -9.04%E -4.91%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.89%EV -8.87%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -9.61%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 11:43
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.24%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.14%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -11.01%E -6.12%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.32%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.01%E -6.12%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.07%E -4.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.66%EV -12.00%E -6.74%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -16.41%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%6.9%2026-08-23 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%181.3%2026-08-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%181.3%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-08-23 13:20