Language:English
Borussia Dortmund v SC Paderborn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund (Local)
Prediction 76.14%1.31fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -9.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.38%76.14%76.02%77.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2884.75%81.09%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Paderborn (Visit)
Prediction 9.51%10.52fair odd
EV +18.87%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.310%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.69%9.47%9.57%10.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.2310.0012.5011.76%9.77%10.00%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.35%6.97fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +0.560%
Kelly +0.649%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.04%14.39%14.42%16.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.436.507.2517.54%15.56%15.38%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund (Local): 76.14%; SC Paderborn (Visit): 9.51%; Draw: 14.35%. For SC Paderborn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.52. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.38%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV +18.87%E +1.51%K +1.64%G +0.310% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 04:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.38%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV +18.87%E +1.51%K +1.64%G +0.310% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 04:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.38%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV +18.87%E +1.51%K +1.64%G +0.310% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 03:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.52%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.69%EV +18.87%E +1.51%K +1.64%G +0.310% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 03:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.56%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV +14.12%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.181% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -3.12%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 08:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.24%EV -6.35%E -5.16%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +14.12%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.181% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.84%EV -8.14%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 03:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +9.36%E +0.814%K +0.892%G +0.084% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -18.19%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +9.36%E +0.814%K +0.892%G +0.084% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -18.19%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -1.99%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 11.10I 9.01%NM 8.87%EV +5.56%E +0.501%K +0.551%G +0.031% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 14.24%EV -0.821%E -0.119%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.93%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV -2.40%E -0.353%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.471%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 09:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.471%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 00:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -12.45%E -2.04%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 04:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -12.45%E -2.04%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 04:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -12.45%E -2.04%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 04:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -12.45%E -2.04%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 03:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +4.61%E +0.419%K +0.461%G +0.021% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -17.47%E -3.04%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.43%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +4.06%E +0.560%K +0.649%G +0.026% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.43%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +4.06%E +0.560%K +0.649%G +0.026% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 09:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.43%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.35%EV +4.06%E +0.560%K +0.649%G +0.026% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.78%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.18%EV +3.34%E +0.464%K +0.539%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -6.35%E -5.16%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV -0.145%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.76%EV -4.07%E -3.23%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 10.02I 9.98%NM 9.53%EV -4.71%E -0.470%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.71%EV -6.85%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 09:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 09:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.35%E -5.16%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-08 08:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.64%E -7.20%K -43.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -9.40%E -7.90%K -49.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -16.75%E -2.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 03:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -9.40%E -7.90%K -49.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%EV -4.90%E -0.490%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.49%EV -16.75%E -2.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 03:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.82%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.61%EV -5.00%E -0.500%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.56%EV +1.62%E +0.229%K +0.266%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.73%EV -6.80%E -0.694%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.02%EV -2.40%E -0.353%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 01:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.28%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.70%EV -7.28%E -0.746%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.12%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.58%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -7.28%E -0.746%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -3.12%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 01:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 19:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.87%E -6.51%K -37.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 01:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -7.87%E -6.51%K -37.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -10.16%E -8.61%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -9.66%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +0.471%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -2.54%E -1.99%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.82%EV -3.31%E -2.60%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.83%E -3.86%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -6.35%E -5.16%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +0.471%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +0.471%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.59%E -4.51%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -6.71%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -10.29%E -1.65%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 08:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -14.41%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -13.88%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 20:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.23%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV -16.31%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -8.14%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 12:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.51%EV -7.11%E -5.83%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -19.17%E -2.25%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -3.12%E -0.462%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.23% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.23% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.23% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.41% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.23% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |