Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Dortmund (Local)

Prediction 66.84%1.50fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.83%66.75%66.87%68.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.401.4673.53%70.92%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamburger SV (Visit)

Prediction 13.49%7.41fair odd
EV +4.58%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 7.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.22%13.56%13.54%15.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.927.007.7516.67%14.44%14.29%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd
EV -0.681%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%19.68%19.59%21.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.784.805.0525.00%20.94%20.83%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund (Local): 66.84%; Hamburger SV (Visit): 13.49%; Draw: 19.67%. For Hamburger SV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.41. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.00%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.55%EV +4.58%E +0.591%K +0.678%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.00%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.55%EV +4.58%E +0.591%K +0.678%G +0.031%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.54%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.63%EV +3.23%E +0.422%K +0.486%G +0.016%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.83%EV -4.22%E -0.867%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.54%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.63%EV +3.23%E +0.422%K +0.486%G +0.016%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.83%EV -4.22%E -0.867%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.52%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.19%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV +1.88%E +0.249%K +0.287%G +0.005%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.681%E -0.135%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.92%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -3.63%E -0.741%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:14
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.75%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:02
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 16:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -7.56%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.20%E +0.161%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Suprabets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.11%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.96%EV -1.49%E -0.205%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 17:21
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -2.17%E -0.299%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:19
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -2.17%E -0.299%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -2.17%E -0.299%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:19
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.53%EV -2.42%E -1.65%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.53%EV -3.11%E -0.434%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.94%EV -4.22%E -0.867%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.61%EV -4.19%E -0.591%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV -3.63%E -0.741%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -3.08%E -2.13%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.95%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:55
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:17
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.54%E -0.792%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.56%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -6.89%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.56%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:39
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -6.89%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.56%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -8.92%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -8.92%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:21
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -8.92%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 17:19
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.03%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.12%EV -9.05%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.85%EV -0.681%E -0.135%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.43%EV -10.94%E -1.66%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -3.63%E -0.741%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:14
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -3.75%E -2.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 17:19
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -1.66%E -0.333%K -0.416%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 05:30
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:04
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.09%E -3.58%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.53%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 17:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.29%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -13.64%E -2.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -13.64%E -2.13%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.58%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.63%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -14.99%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -7.56%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.82%EV -5.76%E -4.08%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -15.66%E -2.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.43%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -19.04%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -19.04%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -21.33%E -5.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96%0.2%2026-03-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:24
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%0.9%2026-03-21 16:34
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.61%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-21 17:25