Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Dortmund v Augsburg

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Dortmund (Local)

Prediction 61.23%1.63fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.24%61.32%61.20%63.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.51%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 17.75%5.63fair odd
EV +6.48%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.084%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.20%17.72%17.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.375.406.0020.83%18.61%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.03%4.76fair odd
EV +0.921%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.78%20.96%21.07%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.524.504.8027.78%22.14%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund (Local): 61.23%; Augsburg (Visit): 17.75%; Draw: 21.03%. For Augsburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +6.48%E +1.08%K +1.30%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +0.921%E +0.192%K +0.242%G +0.002%2.9%2026-03-14 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +6.48%E +1.08%K +1.30%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +0.921%E +0.192%K +0.242%G +0.002%2.9%2026-03-14 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +6.48%E +1.08%K +1.30%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +0.921%E +0.192%K +0.242%G +0.002%2.9%2026-03-14 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +6.48%E +1.08%K +1.30%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +0.921%E +0.192%K +0.242%G +0.002%2.9%2026-03-14 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.28%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.50%EV +3.82%E +0.653%K +0.788%G +0.030%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV -4.34%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.28%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.50%EV +3.82%E +0.653%K +0.788%G +0.030%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.22%EV -4.34%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 14:15
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:14
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:15
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.76%EV -10.00%E -6.80%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.05%E +0.356%K +0.431%G +0.009%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.61%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV +1.16%E +0.203%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV +1.16%E +0.203%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV +0.272%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.21%EV -10.00%E -6.80%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -0.615%E -0.110%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 13:55
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -8.77%E -5.89%K -17.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.39%E -0.435%K -0.531%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.15%EV -3.26%E -2.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV -2.92%E -0.534%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.19%EV -4.13%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.26%E -2.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -4.16%E -0.771%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV -6.44%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -3.26%E -2.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -4.16%E -0.771%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV -6.44%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.29%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -4.16%E -0.771%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.00%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -4.16%E -0.771%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:24
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.76%EV -5.05%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -6.44%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:19
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.70%EV -5.58%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.74%EV -4.55%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -11.22%E -7.74%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -5.94%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.83%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.83%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.83%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.83%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -9.59%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.83%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.49%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.71%E -1.48%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.52%EV -2.04%E -1.27%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.69%EV -8.07%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.78%EV -2.02%E -0.434%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -9.49%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -1.18%E -0.251%K -0.319%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.25%EV -11.22%E -7.74%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -9.49%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 14:15
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.35%EV -8.77%E -5.89%K -17.90%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.10%EV -10.38%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.54%EV -6.44%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV +0.921%E +0.192%K +0.242%G +0.002%5.3%2026-03-14 14:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -3.87%E -2.47%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -5.71%E -3.71%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.131%E -0.028%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.64%E -2.50%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.10%E -3.29%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -11.69%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -9.59%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.16%E -5.44%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.96%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.83%E -8.22%K -26.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.31%E -6.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-14 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.81%E -3.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -3.28%E -0.714%K -0.912%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.71%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%0.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.71%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%0.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.71%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%0.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-03-14 14:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-03-14 14:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-03-14 14:10