Language:English
Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig
Head to Head
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prediction 77.54%1.29fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -12.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.93%77.25%77.49%79.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.201.2588.50%83.88%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Leipzig (Visit)
Prediction 9.51%10.51fair odd
EV +9.37%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +0.893%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.26%9.76%9.51%11.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.779.8111.5012.50%10.24%10.19%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.95%7.72fair odd
EV +3.63%
Edge +0.453%
Kelly +0.518%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.86%12.99%13.00%14.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.177.258.0015.38%13.94%13.79%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bayern Munich (Local): 77.54%; RB Leipzig (Visit): 9.51%; Draw: 12.95%. For RB Leipzig (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.51. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.50, producing a positive expected value of +9.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -7.73%E -6.50%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +9.37%E +0.815%K +0.893%G +0.084% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +3.63%E +0.453%K +0.518%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 10:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -6.96%E -5.80%K -34.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +4.62%E +0.420%K +0.462%G +0.021% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.56%EV -3.08%E -2.46%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 9.01%EV +3.67%E +0.336%K +0.370%G +0.014% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.43%EV +2.33%E +0.295%K +0.338%G +0.008% | 1.8% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.10%EV -6.96%E -5.80%K -34.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -0.139%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +3.63%E +0.453%K +0.518%G +0.019% | 5.4% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -6.96%E -5.80%K -34.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.139%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 10:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -6.96%E -5.80%K -34.78%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.139%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.62%EV -7.73%E -6.50%K -40.69%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.139%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.04%EV -6.09%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 09:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -8.51%E -7.21%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -9.28%E -7.93%K -54.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 10:52 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -9.28%E -7.93%K -54.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 9.81I 10.19%NM 9.62%EV -6.70%E -0.683%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.07%EV -6.48%E -0.897%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 09:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 09:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 09:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 09:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 09:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.18%EV -9.28%E -7.93%K -54.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -2.85%E -0.380%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.66%EV -10.83%E -9.42%K -72.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.94%EV -10.62%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-21 08:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.66%EV -12.38%E -10.96%K -95.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -9.65%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.10%EV -13.21%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.88%EV -5.41%E -4.43%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -19.16%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -9.33%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.10%EV -11.61%E -10.18%K -82.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -19.16%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.56%EV -9.33%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.93%EV -6.96%E -5.80%K -34.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -23.92%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.88%EV -11.61%E -10.18%K -82.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.81%EV -23.92%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-21 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.17% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.24% | 17.1% | 2026-09-21 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.43% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.29% | 165.2% | 2026-09-21 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.43% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.29% | 165.2% | 2026-09-21 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.43% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.29% | 165.2% | 2026-09-21 12:45 |