Language:English
Bayern Munich v 1. FC Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prediction 82.99%1.20fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -17.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.64%82.89%83.12%85.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.81%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Köln (Visit)
Prediction 7.04%14.20fair odd
EV +19.72%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.243%
assuming max odds 17.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.50%7.08%6.93%8.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.1613.0017.009.52%7.60%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.97%10.03fair odd
EV +14.64%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.204%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.45%10.03%9.94%12.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.279.3011.5014.29%10.79%10.75%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bayern Munich (Local): 82.99%; 1. FC Köln (Visit): 7.04%; Draw: 9.97%. For 1. FC Köln (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.20. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.51%EV -8.71%E -7.92%K -87.12%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +19.72%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.243% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +4.67%E +0.445%K +0.492%G +0.023% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +19.72%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.243% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.25%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.25%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.06%EV +12.67%E +0.792%K +0.845%G +0.107% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.24%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 15.40I 6.49%NM 6.31%EV +8.45%E +0.549%K +0.587%G +0.050% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +14.64%E +1.27%K +1.39%G +0.204% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.44%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.23%EV -5.80%E -0.613%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.65%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.33%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 10.38I 9.63%NM 9.26%EV +3.48%E +0.335%K +0.371%G +0.013% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +5.63%E +0.375%K +0.402%G +0.023% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -20.25%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.46%EV +2.11%E +0.146%K +0.156%G +0.003% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV -12.28%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.90%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.46%EV +2.11%E +0.146%K +0.156%G +0.003% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.64%EV -12.28%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.73%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.35%EV -6.79%E -0.726%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.73%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.35%EV -6.79%E -0.726%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.65%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.49%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV -2.31%E -0.235%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.77%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.77%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.36%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.36%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.38%EV -7.88%E -7.10%K -71.65%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.41%E -0.101%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.01%EV -7.79%E -0.842%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.22%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 12:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.22%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.34%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.46%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -0.313%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.05%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.60%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.45%E -0.650%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.23%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.66%EV -11.97%E -0.958%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV +4.67%E +0.445%K +0.492%G +0.023% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -11.97%E -0.958%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -11.97%E -0.958%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -11.97%E -0.958%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.74%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -11.97%E -0.958%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 12:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.59%EV -7.88%E -7.10%K -71.65%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.33%EV -11.97%E -0.958%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.07%EV -9.28%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.75%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 12.36I 8.09%NM 7.67%EV -12.96%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.97I 11.15%NM 10.57%EV -10.58%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.86%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.36%EV -5.39%E -4.73%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.12%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.12%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.69%EV -7.88%E -7.10%K -71.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -20.25%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.63%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.63%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -15.50%E -1.29%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -30.22%E -4.32%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -4.56%E -3.97%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -19.02%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -6.22%E -5.51%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -19.02%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.36%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -19.02%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -15.27%E -1.80%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.33%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -22.54%E -2.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.33%EV -2.90%E -2.48%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -22.54%E -2.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.30%E -0.558%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -26.06%E -2.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -3.73%E -3.22%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -26.06%E -2.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -10.28%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.92%EV -7.05%E -6.30%K -58.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -26.06%E -2.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -22.74%E -2.93%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.31% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.31% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.31% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.31% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.22% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.25% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.85% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81% | 2.2% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |