Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg

2026-10-18 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Testa a testa

23 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bayer Leverkusen (Casa)

Previsione 57.55%1.74quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -3.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.75%57.43%57.76%58.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.76%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

SC Freiburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.10%4.74quota equa
EV +1.71%
Vantaggio +0.355%
Kelly +0.448%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.25%21.18%21.02%23.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.364.404.8226.67%22.91%22.73%20.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.35%4.68quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.342%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.55%21.40%21.22%22.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.274.204.6125.64%23.43%23.81%21.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Bayer Leverkusen (Casa): 57.55%; SC Freiburg (Trasferta): 21.10%; Pareggio: 21.35%. Per SC Freiburg (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.74. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.82, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.71%.

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.23%EV -2.74%E -1.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.42%EV +1.71%E +0.355%K +0.448%G +0.008%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.35%EV -1.58%E -0.342%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-21 09:04
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%EV -0.822%E -0.175%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -6.06%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 10:48
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 10:08
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.11%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -3.93%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-21 09:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.06%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -6.06%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 10:54
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.09%EV -6.20%E -3.80%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.72%EV -3.57%E -0.780%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.18%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -1.79%E -0.389%K -0.498%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:19
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 10:54
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -3.93%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 12:24
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 10:52
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 09:04
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 09:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -9.26%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 13:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 13:24
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -15.03%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-21 13:28
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.33%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-21 09:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.71%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -16.74%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-21 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.08%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -18.76%E -4.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -14.60%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.75%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.87%E -5.57%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.18%EV -16.74%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-21 13:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 54.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%15.9%2026-09-21 13:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-09-21 12:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-09-21 12:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-09-21 12:34