Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen (Local)

Prediction 18.98%5.27fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.92%19.00%19.01%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.965.005.4023.09%20.17%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayern Munich (Visit)

Prediction 61.04%1.64fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.69%60.94%61.11%62.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.551.551.5969.44%64.71%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.99%5.00fair odd
EV +3.93%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +0.936%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.17%20.05%19.88%22.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.704.705.2026.67%21.27%21.28%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen (Local): 18.98%; Bayern Munich (Visit): 61.04%; Draw: 19.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -7.23%E -4.75%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV +3.93%E +0.756%K +0.936%G +0.037%5.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle🎯5.33I 18.76%NM 18.28%EV +1.15%E +0.215%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.05%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.68%EV -1.07%E -0.215%K -0.270%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.68%EV -1.32%E -0.254%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.49%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.47%EV -0.370%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.75%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.47%EV -0.370%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.75%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.47%EV -0.370%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.75%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.47%EV -0.370%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.75%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:52
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:25
BetUS🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.87%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.06%E -0.421%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 13:55
1xBet🎯5.13I 19.49%NM 18.87%EV -2.65%E -0.516%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.26%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.87%EV -2.66%E -0.547%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV +2.48%E +0.459%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV -3.66%E -0.760%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV +2.48%E +0.459%K +0.563%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.07%EV -3.66%E -0.760%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.06%E -0.847%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:15
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.06%E -0.847%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -6.06%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.97%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.06%E -0.847%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.06%E -0.847%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.06%E -0.847%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:05
GTbets🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.66%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.35%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.99%EV -4.66%E -0.978%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -0.370%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:15
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:25
Bovada🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.49%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:13
Unibet (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.63%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:10
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 13:33
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.81%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.60%E -3.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.60%E -3.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 05:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.34%EV -7.23%E -4.75%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.34%EV -7.23%E -4.75%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.06%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Coolbet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%EV -1.32%E -0.254%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 14:05
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38%EV -1.32%E -0.254%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.28%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 14:25
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -6.06%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:20
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -6.06%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 13:20
Suprabets🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:39
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.52%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -3.22%E -0.631%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.83%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -7.23%E -4.75%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:20
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.60%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.06%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 13:39
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.06%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 13:47
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.06%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -7.23%E -4.75%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.06%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -8.06%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.06%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.06%E -1.75%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 13:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 13:19
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 13:45
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:15
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:20
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 13:50
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:50
Fliff🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -10.81%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:25
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -17.83%E -4.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -10.06%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:25
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -12.06%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -14.60%E -3.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -25.05%E -6.68%K -9.11%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-14 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-14 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.13%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-03-14 14:20
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%1.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.26%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.56%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.18%4.1%2026-03-14 14:25