預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Augsburg v Bayern Munich

2026-10-10 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Augsburg (主隊)

預測 10.31%9.70公平賠率
EV +15.50%
優勢 +1.38%
Kelly +1.52%
成長率 +0.236%

假設最高賠率為 11.20

博彩公司預測分布
8.60%10.34%10.46%12.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.259.089.1111.2013.79%11.01%10.98%8.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Bayern Munich (客隊)

預測 77.67%1.29公平賠率
EV -5.24%
優勢 -4.29%
Kelly -23.80%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.22

博彩公司預測分布
75.06%77.73%77.87%80.68%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.141.181.181.2287.72%84.51%84.75%81.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 12.01%8.32公平賠率
EV +12.32%
優勢 +1.32%
Kelly +1.48%
成長率 +0.182%

假設最高賠率為 9.35

博彩公司預測分布
10.53%11.94%11.68%12.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.757.717.639.3514.81%12.96%13.11%10.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Augsburg (主隊):10.31%;Bayern Munich (客隊):77.67%;和局:12.01%。 對於「Augsburg (主隊)」,該估計相當於9.70的公平十進位賠率。 有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為11.20,因此產生+15.50%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯11.20I 8.93%NM 8.79%EV +15.50%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.236%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.68%EV -5.24%E -4.29%K -23.80%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.53%EV +12.32%E +1.32%K +1.48%G +0.182%1.6%2026-09-16 14:29
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +13.44%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.181%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -6.79%E -5.66%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +8.28%E +0.789%K +0.872%G +0.072%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.79%EV -6.79%E -5.66%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.20%EV -6.90%E -0.890%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.13%E +0.313%K +0.347%G +0.011%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.19%EV -6.79%E -5.66%K -33.95%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.31%EV +0.908%E +0.108%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-09-16 20:50
888sport🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -2.03%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.63%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.90%E -0.487%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 15:11
William Hill🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -2.03%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.63%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.90%E -0.487%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -2.03%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.63%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.90%E -0.487%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 15:11
888sport (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -2.03%E -0.214%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.63%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.90%E -0.487%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 15:11
Pinnacle🎯9.22I 10.85%NM 10.24%EV -4.92%E -0.533%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.05%EV -6.01%E -4.97%K -28.64%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.70%EV -3.06%E -0.379%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -7.19%E -0.798%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.79%E -5.66%K -33.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +8.12%E +0.902%K +1.01%G +0.082%5.6%2026-09-16 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -7.19%E -0.798%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.47%EV -7.57%E -6.36%K -39.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 20:50
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.34%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.15%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -9.90%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 20:00
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -12.34%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.49%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -12.34%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.79%EV -9.90%E -8.53%K -61.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 20:45
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -17.50%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.98%EV -8.34%E -7.07%K -46.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -15.91%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -22.66%E -3.02%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.22%EV -10.67%E -9.28%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -12.91%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-16 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.03%EV -24.72%E -3.39%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.06%EV -9.12%E -7.80%K -53.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.91%EV -18.31%E -2.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-16 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 11.86%EV -25.23%E -3.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 75.41%EV -11.45%E -10.04%K -81.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -18.91%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-16 20:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 11.51%1.14I 87.72%NM 74.74%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.74%17.4%2026-09-16 20:50