Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 13:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Köln (Local)

Prediction 41.55%2.41fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.56%41.70%41.45%43.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.252.3748.78%44.58%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Werder Bremen (Visit)

Prediction 30.41%3.29fair odd
EV +0.656%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%30.33%30.49%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.113.103.3136.36%32.20%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV +0.933%
Edge +0.259%
Kelly +0.359%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%27.97%28.06%28.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Köln (Local): 41.55%; Werder Bremen (Visit): 30.41%; Draw: 28.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.933%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.35%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.56%EV +0.352%E +0.107%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV +0.933%E +0.259%K +0.359%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.35%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.56%EV +0.352%E +0.107%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV +0.933%E +0.259%K +0.359%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 13:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.35%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.56%EV +0.352%E +0.107%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV +0.933%E +0.259%K +0.359%G +0.003%2.5%2026-04-12 13:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.17%E -0.359%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV +0.933%E +0.259%K +0.359%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-12 13:00
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.56%EV -1.52%E -0.641%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%EV -1.17%E -0.359%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-12 13:00
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.59%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.60%EV -3.30%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.02%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV +0.352%E +0.107%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -10.24%E -4.74%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 13:00
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.52%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +0.656%E +0.198%K +0.284%G +0.002%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.06%EV -2.71%E -0.781%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.54%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.54%EV -3.18%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -2.69%E -0.840%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.29%EV -5.67%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.72%EV -1.78%E -0.550%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 12:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 13:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 11:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 13:00
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 13:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:00
Suprabets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.91%EV -6.09%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.02%EV -5.24%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:01
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.56%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 12:58
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.43%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:58
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 13:01
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:00
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -14.82%E -7.23%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -13.33%E -4.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-25 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.74%E -6.07%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.37%E -5.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-12 13:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-12 13:01
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-12 13:01
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-04-12 13:01
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-04-12 13:00