The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

1. FC Köln v Borussia Monchengladbach

2026-10-11 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Köln (Local)

Prediction 51.21%1.95fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.19%51.25%51.13%52.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.831.9058.82%55.45%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit)

Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +0.251%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%25.06%25.05%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.704.0030.30%27.28%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -0.335%
Edge -0.080%
Kelly -0.105%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%23.70%23.81%24.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.873.804.2027.40%25.82%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Köln (Local): 51.21%; Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit): 25.06%; Draw: 23.73%. For Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.251%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%EV +0.251%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%EV -0.335%E -0.080%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-16 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -2.26%E -0.578%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -2.71%E -0.660%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.56%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.90%EV -4.51%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.54%EV -4.37%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 14:31
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -4.75%E -2.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.335%E -0.080%K -0.105%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 13:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 16:16
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:11
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:11
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 15:11
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -8.52%E -2.33%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -9.36%E -5.29%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.77%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 19:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.07%EV -10.39%E -5.94%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -11.49%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.41%EV -12.95%E -7.62%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-16 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.39%E -5.94%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -10.90%E -6.26%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-16 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.19%EV -11.92%E -6.93%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -13.39%E -3.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-16 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 49.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%16.6%2026-09-16 15:55